New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/14/2024

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, September 14, 2024

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  SNY

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -115, Phillies -105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -115, Phillies -105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -115, Phillies -105; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

New York Mets:  80-66 (2nd place, NL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  88-58 (1st place, NL East)

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New York Mets:  8-2 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  8-2 last 10

The Mets are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 80-66 record overall and have a road record of 40-32. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Jose Quintana is their starting pitcher on Friday while Luis Severino is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 10-6 with a 3.74 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 6.2 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.

The Phillies are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 88-58 record overall and have a home record of 50-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .754 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Friday while Kolby Allard is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 0 BB with 5 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5 innings played against the Kansas City Royals.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 88-58 record overall which has them leading the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They also have one of the best home records in the MLB with their 50-25 home record, and they are coming off a sweep against the Rays at home in their last series. Meanwhile, the Mets have looked really good in their games this season with their 80-66 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have also looked good in their road games with their 40-32 road record and they are still trying to catch the Phillies in 1st place. The Mets are still trying to catch the Phillies but the Phillies do have a big lead in the division so this series is a lot more important to the Mets who are fighting with the Braves and other teams in the NL in a really tight race. They are going to have Severino on the mound here and he has looked good this season. He is 10-6 with a 3.74 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He gave up 1 earned run in his last start and has been solid for him all season. His team has lost 2 of the last 3 games he started in, but he is due for a win with how well he has been pitching. The Phillies are going with Allard in this one and he is 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA. He gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has won 2 games in a row with him starting, but he also hasn't started since August. He could get switched out too so there is still some uncertainty with who will be starting for the Phillies. Both of these teams have been really hot with their 8-2 records in their last 10 games, but the Mets will bring their best effort since there is more pressure on them to win games right now with their playoff spot still up for grabs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game. 

Mets Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, September 14, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Phillies 1.

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New York Mets: Will be posted by 12:00pm ET, 09/14/2024.

Philadelphia Phillies: Will be posted by 12:00pm ET, 09/14/2024.

New York Mets:  J. McNeil (2B) Out - Wrist. S. Reid-Foley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Nunez (SP) Undefined - Forearm. P. Blackburn (RP) Undefined - Hand. K. Senga (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Scott (SP) Undefined - Elbow. D. Smith (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Raley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Mauricio (SS) Sixty Day IL - Knee.

Philadelphia Phillies:  K. Schwarber (DH) Questionable - Elbow. J. Realmuto (C) Probable - Knee. E. Sosa (SS) Ten Day IL - Back. A. Bohm (3B) Ten Day IL - Hand. A. Hays (LF) Ten Day IL - Kidney. S. Turnbull (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ankle.

“We couldn’t put much together. He was on today. He’s been doing that the past few outings. Nothing overpowering, but just enough to miss barrels.” - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Wednesday.

“It was a battle. I didn’t have my best command and all that, but I got through it. I got through six.” - Zack Wheeler after their win against the Rays in their game on Wednesday.

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Jose Iglesias (R) 2B

Mark Vientos (R) 3B

Brandon Nimmo (L) LF

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

J.D. Martinez (R) DH

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Harrison Bader (R) CF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) DH

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Brandon Marsh (L) LF

Weston Wilson (R) 3B

Kody Clemens (L) 1B

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Aramis Garcia (R) C

Batting Average:  Jose Iglesias (.317)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (160)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (31)

RBI:  Francisco Lindor (85)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (27)

Wins:  Sean Manaea (11)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (18)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Batting Average:  Weston Wilson (.313)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (147)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (35)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (95)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (29)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (15)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (1.79)

Managers:

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (1st season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)