New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/13/2024

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Friday, September 13, 2024

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +130, Phillies -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +130, Phillies -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +130, Phillies -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

New York Mets:  80-66 (2nd place, NL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  88-58 (1st place, NL East)

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New York Mets:  8-2 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  8-2 last 10

The Mets are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 80-66 record overall and have a road record of 40-32. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Sean Manaea was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Jose Quintana is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-9 with a 4.09 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits through 6.2 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.

The Phillies are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 88-58 record overall and have a home record of 50-25. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .754 OPS. Zack Wheeler was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 12-7 with a 3.41 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 9 hits through 4.2 innings played against the Miami Marlins.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 88-58 record overall which has them leading the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They also have one of the best home records in the MLB with their 50-25 home record, and they are coming off a sweep against the Rays at home in their last series. Meanwhile, the Mets have looked really good in their games this season with their 80-66 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have also looked good in their road games with their 40-32 road record and they are still trying to catch the Phillies in 1st place. The Phillies pretty much have the division locked up, but nothing is certain and they are going to be focused on spreading the gap in this series. They have one of their studs on the mound here with Nola and he has been really reliable for them all season. He is 12-7 with a 3.41 ERA and the team has won 4 of the last 5 games he has started in. He did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but he will be looking to bounce back with a better performance at home. Quintana is on the mound for the Mets and he is 8-9 with a 4.09 ERA this season. He gave up no runs in his last start and his team has won 2 games in a row with him starting, but the Phillies still have the better offense and have been putting up more runs lately which will give them the edge here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Mets Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, September 13, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Mets 2.

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New York Mets: 56-31 (+17.95 units) on the moneyline in their last 87 games. 50-38 (+12.95 units) on the runline in their last 88 games. 23-11 to the under with their team total in their last 34 road games. 

Philadelphia Phillies: 34-46 (-15.90 units) on the runline in their last 80 games. 29-14 to the under with their team total in their last 43 home games. 35-19 to the under with their first 5 team total in their last 54 games. 

New York Mets:  J. McNeil (2B) Out - Wrist. S. Reid-Foley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Nunez (SP) Undefined - Forearm. P. Blackburn (RP) Undefined - Hand. K. Senga (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Scott (SP) Undefined - Elbow. D. Smith (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Raley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Mauricio (SS) Sixty Day IL - Knee.

Philadelphia Phillies:  K. Schwarber (DH) Questionable - Elbow. J. Realmuto (C) Probable - Knee. E. Sosa (SS) Ten Day IL - Back. A. Bohm (3B) Ten Day IL - Hand. A. Hays (LF) Ten Day IL - Kidney. S. Turnbull (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ankle.

“We couldn’t put much together. He was on today. He’s been doing that the past few outings. Nothing overpowering, but just enough to miss barrels.” - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Wednesday.

“It was a battle. I didn’t have my best command and all that, but I got through it. I got through six.” - Zack Wheeler after their win against the Rays in their game on Wednesday.

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Jose Iglesias (R) 2B

Mark Vientos (R) 3B

Brandon Nimmo (L) LF

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

J.D. Martinez (R) DH

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Harrison Bader (R) CF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) DH

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Brandon Marsh (L) LF

Weston Wilson (R) 3B

Kody Clemens (L) 1B

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Aramis Garcia (R) C

Batting Average:  Jose Iglesias (.317)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (160)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (31)

RBI:  Francisco Lindor (85)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (27)

Wins:  Sean Manaea (11)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (18)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Batting Average:  Weston Wilson (.313)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (147)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (35)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (95)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (29)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (15)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (1.79)

Managers:

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (1st season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)