New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/12/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Apr 11, 2022
Game Time: 6:45 pm ET, Tuesday, April 12, 2022
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +140, Phillies -160; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +140, Phillies -160; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +140, Phillies -160; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

New York Mets:  3-1 (1st place, NL East)
Philadelphia Phillies:  2-1 (2nd place, NL East)
 
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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Mets:  3-1 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  2-1 last 10
 
 
 

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game with a 3-1 record overall and they are 3-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 4-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-1 and they are starting a 3-game series with the Phillies on Monday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday night with the series opener still to be played on Monday night. Taijuan Walker is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Tylor Megill will be on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA to start this season. His team won their last game with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 being HRs, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Washington Nationals. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging 2 runs allowed per game.
 

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies are coming into this game with a 2-1 record overall and they are 2-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 and they are starting a 3-game series with the Mets on Monday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday night with the series opener still to be played on Monday night. Ranger Suárez is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Zack Wheeler will be on the mound for them here on Tuesday. Last season, he was 14-10 with a 2.78 ERA. His team has won 5 of their last 6 games with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings played against the Atlanta Braves. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging 4.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are coming into this game as a favorite with the current betting odds. Both of these teams won their opening series and have been playing well recently but the pitching advantage goes to the Phillies in this game and that just might be the difference here. Wheeler is coming off of a great season last year and he will want to pitch very well against his old team here, giving him more motivation to play his best in this game. The Mets have Megill on the mound who has already pitched in a game this season and he did pitch well but he likely will not recreate that performance in this game. The Mets have a very good team this season but they struggled to bring runs in on Sunday and that could carry over a little into this series and this is not the matchup they want to have if their bats go cold. The best bet to place on this game is on the Phillies to win here.
 
Mets Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, April 12, 2022 (6:45 pm ET start time) is Phillies 4 Mets 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Mets: 28-58 (-22.8u) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 106-120 (-38.6u) in all games. 18-11 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.
Philadelphia Phillies: 26-14 (+5.8u) ML as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 29-24 UNDER as a favorite of -150 or more. 17-13 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Mets:  Diaz (RP) Out indefinitely - Personal. T. Walker (SP) Prob Mon - Knee injury. J. deGrom (SP) Late May - Shoulder injury.
Philadelphia Phillies:  R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. M. Moniak (CF) Mid June - Hand injury. R. Marchan (C) Mid June - Hamstring injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
 
"That was directed at the Nats fans and the opposing team." - Pete Alonso on hitting a grand slam after their win against the Nationals on Saturday afternoon.
 
 
"I didn't really have a problem with that because I felt we hit a number of balls hard." - Joe Girardi after his team’s loss against the A’s on Sunday afternoon.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Robinson Cano (L) 2B
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Dominic Smith (L) DH
Mark Canha (R) RF
Jeff McNeil (L) LF
Tomas Nido (R) C
 
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Jean Segura (R) 2B
Bryce Harper (L) RF
Nick Castellanos (R) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Bryson Stott (L) SS
Johan Camargo (S) 3B
Garrett Stubbs (L) C
Matt Vierling (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Mark Canha (.700)
Hits:  Jeff McNeil (7)
Home Runs:  Jeff McNeil (1)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (4)
Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (2)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (1)
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  Chris Bassitt (0.00)
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Alec Bohm (1.000)
Hits:  Rhys Hoskins (4)
Home Runs:  Jean Segura (2)
RBI:  Rhys Hoskins (3)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  Kyle Gibson (1)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (1)
ERA:  Kyle Gibson (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Joe Girardi (8th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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