New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/11/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Apr 11, 2022
Game Time: 6:45 pm ET, Monday, April 11, 2022
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +125, Phillies -145; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +125, Phillies -145; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +125, Phillies -145; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

New York Mets:  3-0 (1st place, NL East)
Philadelphia Phillies:  2-0 (2nd place, NL East)
 
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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Mets:  3-0 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  2-0 last 10
 
 
 

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game with a 3-1 record overall and they are 3-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 4-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-1 and they are starting a 3-game series with the Phillies in this game on Monday night. Carlos Carrasco was the starting pitcher for them on Sunday so Taijuan Walker will be on the mound for them here on Monday. Last season, he was 7-11 with a 4.47 ERA. His team has lost their last 4 games straight and 11 of their last 12 with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 being a HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 2 hits through 7.1 IP against the Miami Marlins. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging 2 runs allowed per game.
 

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies are coming into this game with a 2-1 record overall and they are 2-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 and they are starting a 3-game series with the Mets in this game on Monday night. Zach Eflin was the starting pitcher for them on Sunday so Ranger Suárez will be on the mound for them here on Monday. Last season, he was 8-5 with a 1.36 ERA. His team has won their last 2 games straight and 3 of their last 4 with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 9 strikeouts on 6 hit through 7 innings played against the Miami Marlins. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging 4.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

The Mets are coming into this game as an underdog with the current betting odds. The Mets are off to a very hot start winning 3 straight games but they are coming off of a loss in their last game. They still won 3 of the 4 games in their opening series and they have been scoring a lot runs. They spent a lot of money in the offseason to bring some of the top players at every position and they are in the hunt for a World Series this season. The Phillies have also got off to a good start winning 2 of their last 3 games but are coming off of a loss in their last game and they did play at home for that series. The Mets have already won 3 of their 4 games on the road and they are going to be ready to roll in this game as well. The Mets have been hot with their bats recently and they will come away with a win in this game.
 
Mets Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, April 11, 2022 (6:45 pm ET start time) is Mets 5 Phillies 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Mets: 28-58 (-22.8u) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 18-27 (-13.2u) ML when the total is 9 to 9.5. 18-11 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.
Philadelphia Phillies: 26-14 (+5.8u) ML as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 66-47 (+3.9u) ML in home games. 34-29 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Mets:  S. Marte (CF) Ques Sun - Rest.E. Diaz (RP) Out indefinitely - Personal. T. Walker (SP) Prob Mon - Knee injury.
Philadelphia Phillies:  R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. M. Moniak (CF) Mid June - Hand injury. R. Marchan (C) Mid June - Hamstring injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Sometimes we lose sight of the guts it takes — whether you've been hit or not hit — to get into a major league batter's box, with these guys throwing like this, and stay in there. That's why people have so much emotional stir when things happen that puts them in harm's way." - Buck Showalter after his team’s win against the Nationals on Saturday afternoon.
 
 
"They're along with the ride with us. We all want to get back there." - Bryce Harper after their win against the Athletics on Saturday afternoon.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Robinson Cano (L) 2B
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Dominic Smith (L) DH
Mark Canha (R) RF
Jeff McNeil (L) LF
Tomas Nido (R) C
 
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Jean Segura (R) 2B
Bryce Harper (L) RF
Nick Castellanos (R) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Bryson Stott (L) SS
Johan Camargo (S) 3B
Garrett Stubbs (L) C
Matt Vierling (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Mark Canha (.667)
Hits:  Jeff McNeil (6)
Home Runs:  Jeff McNeil (1)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (4)
Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (2)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (1)
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  Chris Bassitt (0.00)
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Rhys Hoskins (.667)
Hits:  Rhys Hoskins (4)
Home Runs:  Rhys Hoskins (1)
RBI:  Rhys Hoskins (3)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  Kyle Gibson (1)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (1)
ERA:  Kyle Gibson (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Joe Girardi (8th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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