New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/24/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jul 23, 2024
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, July 24, 2024
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +142, Yankees -170; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +140, Yankees -170; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +140, Yankees -170; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

New York Mets:  51-48 (3rd place, NL East)
New York Yankees:  60-42 (2nd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
New York Mets:  7-3 last 10
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10



New York Mets vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Mets are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-48 record overall and have a road record of 25-22. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Jose Quintana is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Sean Manaea is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-4 with a 3.73 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 1 K on 8 hits through 5 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-42 record overall and have a home record of 27-21. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .759 OPS. Luis Gil is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-1 with a 4.60 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 8 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.


Mets vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 60-42 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They are chasing down the Orioles in 1st place who are only a couple of games ahead in the division, and they have looked good in their home games with their 27-21 home record. Meanwhile, the Mets haven't looked great in their games this season with their 51-48 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL East, but they are starting to get themselves back into the playoff race in the NL. They are only 25-22 in their road games this year, but they have looked a lot better lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games. They still split their series with the Marlins coming out of the All-Star break though and the Marlins have struggled since the beginning of the season. The Yankees also split their series over the weekend, but they were playing a Rays team that has looked a lot better lately. The Yankees still have the better offense which has been producing more runs lately, and they are going to have the more favorable pitching matchup too. The Yankees have Cole on the mound in this one and he is 3-1 with a 4.60 ERA. He missed the 1st half of the season but has looked a lot better lately as he gets more starts under his belt. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start as he continues to improve with each start, and the Yankees have been finding success with him too, winning 4 games in a row with him starting. The Mets will have Manaea going in this one and he is 6-4 with a 3.73 ERA. He hasn't been bad this season but he did give up 5 earned runs in his last start and he will get himself into trouble against this really good offense that has looked better lately. The Yankees were in a big slump before the All-Star break and they will be looking to get hot again as they try to take the division back from the Orioles. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Mets Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 24, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 5 Mets 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


New York Mets: 28-13 (+13.05 units) on the moneyline in their last 41 games. 24-18 (+6.75 units) on the runline in their last 42 games. 27-18 to the over in their last 45 games. 

New York Yankees: 11-22 (-21 units) on the moneyline in their last 33 games. 11-22 (-18.50 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 33 games. 33-21 to the over in their last 54 games. 

Key Injuries


New York Mets:  R. Garrett (RP) Late July - Elbow. S. Fujinami (SP) Late July - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) out of season - Elbow. B. Raley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Marte (CF) Mid July - Knee. S. Reid-Foley (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. K. Senga (SP) Late May - Shoulder. R. Mauricio (SS) out for season - Knee.

New York Yankees:  J. Davis (RP) Que Tues - Illness. J. Trevino (C) Late July - Quadricep. L. Trivino (RP) Late July - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. G. Stanton (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“They created some traffic but he kept making pitches. I liked how he continued to mix the fastball, the slider. He got the job done.” - Carlos Mendoza on Edwin Diaz after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Monday. 


“I’m just trying to make sure it was a fair ball. I was literally pulling with everything that I have to stay fair. It was fun to see it and I definitely got a hold (of it).” - Juan Soto after their win against the Rays in their game on Monday. 


Starting Lineups


New York Mets
F Lindor (S) SS
B Nimmo (L) LF
J Martinez (R) DH
P Alonso (R) 1B
D Stewart (L) RF
F Alvarez (R) C
J Iglesias (R) 3B
J McNeil (L) 2B
H Bader (R) CF

New York Yankees
B Rice (L) 1B
J Soto (L) RF
A Judge (R) DH
A Wells (L) C
A Volpe (R) SS
A Verdugo (L) LF
O Cabrera (S) 2B
T Grisham (L) CF
D LeMahieu (R) 3B

Statistical Leaders


New York Mets
Batting Average:  Jose Iglesias (.387)
Hits:  Francisco Lindor (102)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (19)
RBI:  Brandon Nimmo (63)
Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (20)
Wins:  Reed Garrett (7)
Saves:  Edwin Díaz (12)
ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits:  Juan Soto (112)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (35)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (89)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (17)
Wins:  Luis Gil (10)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (21)
ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:
New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (1st season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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