New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/23/2024

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, July 23, 2024

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  YES

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +130, Yankees -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +130, Yankees -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets +130, Yankees -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

New York Mets:  50-48 (3rd place, NL East)

New York Yankees:  59-42 (2nd place, AL East)

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New York Mets:  6-4 last 10

New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10

The Mets are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-48 record overall and have a road record of 24-22. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday with the series finale of their series against the Marlins still to be played on Monday. The Mets lost the series opener of that series on Friday, won the 2nd game on Saturday, and lost the 3rd game on Sunday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. David Peterson is their starting pitcher on Monday while Jose Quintana is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-6 with a 4.13 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 4 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 6 hits through 5.2 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-42 record overall and have a home record of 27-21. This is the 1st game of a 2-game series with the Mets on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Carlos Rodón is their starting pitcher on Monday while Luis Gil is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 10-5 with a 3.17 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 60-42 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They are chasing down the Orioles in 1st place who they are right behind in the division, and they have looked good in their home games with their 27-21 home record. Meanwhile, the Mets haven't looked great in their games this season with their 50-48 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL East. They are only 24-22 in their road games this year and they have been struggling all season to get over .500, only doing so now that they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and getting on a roll. That was before the All-Star break though and they have already lost 2 of their 3 games coming out of it, losing to the Marlins who have been terrible this season. They have a chance to split the series with the Marlins on Monday, but the Yankees will be coming off a win against the Rays on Monday and they will have some momentum as they try to get on a run now. The Yankees are going with Gil in this one and he is 10-5 with a 3.17 ERA. His team has lost 4 of their last 5 games with him starting, but he did give up just 1 earned run in his last start and he is due for some better outings with how well he has pitched all season. Quintana is on the mound for the Mets and he has been pitching well this year, going 4-6 with a 4.13 ERA, but he hasn't looked nearly as good as the pitchers that the Yankees have. Quintana has also been struggling more lately since he gave up 5 earned runs in his last start and his team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Yankees have the much stronger offense this season but they also have the better bullpen to help them win in this subway series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Mets Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 23, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 7 Mets 1.

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New York Mets: 27-13 (+11.75 units) on the moneyline in their last 40 games. 23-18 (+5.75 units) on the runline in their last 41 games. 27-17 to the over in their last 44 away games. 

New York Yankees: 11-21 (-19.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 32 games. 11-21 (-18.50 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 32 games. 30-15 to the over in their last 45 games. 

New York Mets:  D. Peterson (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. R. Garrett (RP) Late July - Elbow. S. Fujinami (SP) Late July - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) out of season - Elbow. B. Raley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Marte (CF) Mid July - Knee. S. Reid-Foley (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. K. Senga (SP) Late May - Shoulder. R. Mauricio (SS) out for season - Knee.

New York Yankees:  J. Davis (RP) Que Mon - Illness. J. Trevino (C) Late July - Quadricep. L. Trivino (RP) Late July - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. G. Stanton (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“(Saturday) I thought we had some really good at-bats. We hit some balls hard but didn’t find holes. Today we had a hard time putting something together. But overall the at-bats are there. We have good hitters.” - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s loss against the Marlins in their game on Sunday.

“Just trying to do too much. I’ve definitely been there plenty of times where you’re trying to get something going, trying to spark the team and stuff like that happens. We’ve just got to go back to just doing our job, and you don’t get a pitch to hit, just pass it to the next guy." - Aaron Judge after their loss against the Rays in their game on Sunday.

F Lindor (S) SS

B Nimmo (L) LF

J Martinez (R) DH

P Alonso (R) 1B

M Vientos (R) 3B

L Torrens (R) C

J Iglesias (R) 2B

T Taylor (R) RF

H Bader (R) CF

B Rice (L) 1B

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) DH

A Wells (L) C

A Volpe (R) SS

A Verdugo (L) LF

O Cabrera (S) 2B

T Grisham (L) CF

D LeMahieu (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Jose Iglesias (.389)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (100)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (19)

RBI:  Brandon Nimmo (63)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (19)

Wins:  Reed Garrett (7)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (11)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (109)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (35)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (89)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (17)

Wins:  Luis Gil (10)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (21)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (1st season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)