New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/28/2024

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, April 28, 2024

Venue:  Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks +5, 76ers -5; Over/Under:  208 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks +5, 76ers -5; Over/Under:  208 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks +4.5, 76ers -4.5; Over/Under:  208.5 points

New York Knicks:  50-32 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

Philadelphia 76ers:  47-35 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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New York Knicks:  8-2 last 10

Philadelphia 76ers:  8-2 last 10

The Knicks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 23-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Philadelphia 76ers in their last game. Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 39 while Josh Hart was next on the team with 20 points. Jalen Brunson led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Mitchell Robinson led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 48.9% from the field, 43.3% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.2 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 44-38-3 this season and their O/U record is 39-46.

The 76ers are entering this game with a 47-35 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the New York Knicks in their last game. Joel Embiid led the team in points in that game with 50 while Tyrese Maxey was next on the team with 25 points. Tyrese Maxey led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Joel Embiid led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 54.7% from the field, 48.4% from 3-point range, and 84.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The 76ers have an ATS record of 50-36 this season and their O/U record is 46-40.

The current betting odds have the 76ers listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Knicks and the 7th seeded 76ers for Round 1 of the NBA Eastern Conference playoffs. The Knicks have a 2-1 series lead after the 76ers won game 3 of this series on their home court. The 76ers are down in this series but they got game 3 back on their home court and they haven't looked bad in this series, including the 2 road games. They came all the way back in game 1 after being down at halftime and ended up losing the game late, but they also went toe-to-toe with the Knicks in game 2, once again losing that game but almost winning it in that last minute. Now they are back at home with the crowd on their side and it really helped as the Knicks did go toe-to-toe with the 76ers at first, but eventually the 76ers pulled away late and won the game convincingly. The Knicks haven't been a bad road team this season but they haven't looked nearly as good in those games while the 76ers have looked a lot better on their home court this year. The 76ers came really close to stealing a road game in this series already and now that they are back at home, they were already able to cut the series lead in half. The 76ers are going to be very motivated in this game knowing they can tie the series going back to New York. The best way to place a bet here is on the 76ers to cover the spread in this game.

Knicks 76ers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 28, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is 76ers 118 Knicks 107.

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New York Knicks: 4-12 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5. 5-9 ATS as a # 2 seed in the playoffs. 19-8 UNDER when leading in a playoff series. 7-1 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. 

Philadelphia 76ers: 22-12 ATS as a home favorite. 34-17 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 29-19 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 17-8 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5. 21-7 UNDER in the 4th game of a playoff series. 11-6 UNDER off a home win against a division rival.

New York Knicks:  M. Robinson (C) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Randle (PF) out for season - Shoulder.

Philadelphia 76ers:  D. Melton (PG) Out Indefinitely - Back. R. Covington (SF) out for season - Knee.

“I'll send my clips in like I do every game. They'll say marginal contact. Then they'll say marginal contact on Embiid and he'll be at the line 21 times. That's just the way it works.” - Tom Thibodeau after his team’s loss against the 76ers in game 3 of this series on Thursday.

“They want to bring the physicality. We can be physical, too.” - Joel Embiid after their win against the Knicks in game 3 of this series on Thursday.

PG Jalen Brunson

SG Donte DiVincenzo

SF Josh Hart

PF OG Anunoby

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Tyrese Maxey

SG Kyle Lowry 

SF Kelly Oubre Jr.

PF Tobias Harris

C Joel Embiid

PPG: J. Brunson (28.7)

APG: J. Brunson (6.7)

Reb/G: J. Randle (9.2)

PPG: J. Embiid (34.7)

APG: T. Maxey (6.2)

Reb/G: J. Embiid (11)

Coaches:

New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (4th season)

Philadelphia 76ers: Nick Nurse (1st season)