New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/28/2025

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, March 28, 2025
Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch:  FDSWI


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks -1, Bucks +1; Over/Under:  222.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks -1, Bucks +1; Over/Under:  222.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks -1, Bucks +1; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Season Record

New York Knicks:  45-27 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)
Milwaukee Bucks:  40-32 (4th place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
New York Knicks:  5-5 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks:  4-6 last 10


New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Analysis


The Knicks are entering this game with a 45-27 record overall this season and they are 21-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Los Angeles Clippers. Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in points in that game with 34 while OG Anunoby was next on the team with 28 points. Mikal Bridges led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 50% from the field, 38.2% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 33-38-1 this season and their O/U record is 39-32-1.



The Bucks are entering this game with a 40-32 record overall this season and they are 23-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Phoenix Suns and the Denver Nuggets. Brook Lopez led the team in points in that game with 26 while Ryan Rollins was next on the team with 17 points. Kevin Porter Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Pat Connaughton led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 51.7% from the field, 43.2% from 3-point range, and 69.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.3 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 36-35-2 this season and their O/U record is 35-38.


Knicks vs Bucks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 40-32 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They have also looked really good on their home court this year with their 23-12 home record. Meanwhile, the Knicks have looked good in their games this season with their 45-27 record overall which has them right near the top of the East and in a playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 21-15 road record, but lately they haven't looked as good in their games and have been missing Jalen Brunson from the lineup. They are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and they have been able to beat up on worse teams without Brunson in the lineup, but they have struggled against better teams, coming off a home loss to the Clippers in their last one. The Bucks haven't looked any better lately either as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have lost 2 games in a row now, but they will be looking to bounce back here. The Bucks have been slipping down the standings lately, they aren't at risk of falling out of a playoff spot with how bad the East has been, but they have slipped down to the last playoff spot now and are still fighting for seeding. They have been missing Lillard too and were even missing Giannis in their last one, but he should be back for this game which will give them a big boost against a banged up Knicks team. The Knicks just aren't the same team without Jalen Brunson and the Bucks can take advantage of that at home where they have been a much better team this season so this is a great game for the Bucks to bounce back in. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Knicks Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 28, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 122 Knicks 107.
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NBA Betting Trends


New York Knicks: 34-22 ATS on the road after playing a home game. 17-11 ATS on the road against Central division opponents. 33-27 OVER against Central division opponents. 19-13 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games. 46-30 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less.

Milwaukee Bucks: 7-16 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. 10-17 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 15-23 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 16-9 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 16-10 OVER after playing 3 consecutive road games. 

Key Injuries


New York Knicks:  C. Payne (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. M. McBride (PG) Day To Day - Groin. J. Brunson (PG) Out - Ankle. A. Hukporti (C) Out - Knee.

Milwaukee Bucks:  G. Antetokounmpo (PF) Day To Day - Foot. D. Lillard (PG) Out - Groin. J. Sims (C) Out - Thumb.


Notable Quotes


"Injuries always suck, and for some reason we just keep getting smacked with them at the same position. We've got to piece it together and figure out a way to scratch out wins." - Josh Hart after their loss against the LA Clippers in their game on Wednesday.


“I do, but I honestly have no idea. We didn’t know until shootaround (he would be out). He texted me in the morning.” - Doc Rivers on the injury to Giannis Antetokounmpo after his team’s loss against the Nuggets in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


New York Knicks
PG Cameron Payne
SG Mikal Bridges
SF Josh Hart
PF OG Anunoby
C Karl-Anthony Towns

Milwaukee Bucks
PG Ryan Rollins
SG Taurean Prince
SF Kyle Kuzma
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Statistical Leaders


New York Knicks
PPG: J. Brunson (26.3)
APG: J. Brunson (7.4)
Reb/G: K. Towns (12.9)

Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.2)
APG: D. Lillard (7.1)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (12)

Coaches:
New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (5th season)
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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