by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Dec 04, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 8, 2024
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jets +6, Dolphins -6; Over/Under: 45 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jets +6, Dolphins -6; Over/Under: 45 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jets +6.5, Dolphins -6.5; Over/Under: 45 points
Season Record
New York Jets: 3-9 (3rd place, AFC East)
Miami Dolphins: 5-7 (2nd place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
New York Jets: lost their last game at home against the Seattle Seahawks 26-21.
Miami Dolphins: lost their last game on the road against the Green Bay Packers 30-17.
New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Preview and Analysis
The Jets are entering this game with a 3-9 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 26-21. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 21/39 passes for 185 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 60. Davante Adams led the receivers with 66 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Quincy Williams and D.J. Reed each led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Will McDonald IV led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 5-7 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Green Bay Packers 30-17. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 37/46 passes for 365 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Raheem Mostert led the team in rushing yards with 19. Jonnu Smith led the receivers with 113 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Tyrel Dodson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Jets vs Dolphins Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 5-7 record overall, but that record has them in 2nd place of the AFC East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. The AFC East has already been won by the Buffalo Bills, but the Dolphins can still get a Wild Card spot so they are going to be in must-win mode for the rest of the season as they can't afford another loss. Their season was also derailed by an injury to their starting QB, but they have looked a lot better since he came back, even though they are coming off a loss in their last one. Meanwhile, the Jets have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-9 record overall which has them near the bottom of the AFC East. They aren't eliminated from the playoffs yet, but they are 1 loss away and are pretty much out for the season with the way they have played. Aaron Rodgers has been a disaster this season both on and off the field, and they have looked worse in their road games with their 1-4 road record. They are coming off a loss to the Seahawks in their last one and that was another game that they blew a late lead in. The Dolphins have looked a lot better as a team over the last month and they still have something to play for this season, unlike this Jets team that is just going through the motions. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game.
Jets Dolphins Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 8, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 31 Jets 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
New York Jets: 17-28 ATS in all games. 5-9 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 1-8 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 28-18 UNDER in all games. 11-5 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 11-4 UNDER versus division opponents.
Miami Dolphins: 10-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 13-4 ATS versus division opponents. 14-7 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 10-2 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 13-7 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 7-4 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less.
Key Injuries
New York Jets: C. Clark (SAF) Questionable - Shin. T. Smith (OL) Out - Neck. M. Moses (OL) Injured - Knee. C. Mosley (LB) Questionable - Neck. D. Reed (CB) Injured - Back. X. Newman (OL) Questionable - Concussion. J. Hanson (OL) Questionable - Hamstring. A. Vera-Tucker (G) Injured - Ankle. B. Hall (RB) Questionable - Knee. Q. Stiggers (CB) Injured - Personal. M. Corley (WR) Injured - Illness.
Miami Dolphins: A. Walker (LB) Out - Hamstring. B. Jones (DT) Injured - Shoulder. J. Ramsey (CB) Injured - Knees. K. Fuller (CB) Out - Concussion. I. Wynn (OL) Injured - Quad. T. Hill (WR) Injured - Wrist. C. Campbell (DT) Injured - NIR - Rest. J. Poyer (SAF) Injured - NIR - Rest. T. Armstead (T) Questionable - Knee. T. Bowser (OLB) Out - Knee. A. Ingold (FB) Injured - Calf. J. Hill (TE) Injured - Shoulder. J. Holland (SAF) Injured - Hand. R. Jones (OL) Injured - Knee. P. McMorris (SAF) Injured - Calf.
Notable Quotes
“Plays at the end of the second quarter cost us this game. Then comes the fourth quarter — it’s execution, it’s strain, it’s the little things, it’s accuracy. And we just have a lot to go around, myself included, first and foremost.” - Aaron Rodgers after their loss against the Seahawks in their last game.
“I would say, from my standpoint and our team’s standpoint, we’re not going to use any of that as an excuse for why we didn’t get the start that we wanted.” - Tua Tagovailoa after their loss against the Packers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Gipson, Xavier
WR Adams, Davante
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Rodgers, Aaron
RB Hall, Breece
Miami Dolphins
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Hill, Tyreek
WR Washington, Malik
TE Smith, Jonnu
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB Achane, De'Von
FB Ingold, Alec
Statistical Leaders
New York Jets
Passing: A. Rodgers (2627)
Rushing: B. Hall (692)
Receiving: G. Wilson (763)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (6)
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (2125)
Rushing: D. Achane (576)
Receiving: T. Hill (654)
Touchdowns: D. Achane (9)
Coaches:
New York Jets: Jeff Ulbrich (Interim)
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
