by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Dec 26, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 29, 2024
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jets +8.5, Bills -8.5; Over/Under: 47 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jets +8.5, Bills -8.5; Over/Under: 47 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jets +9, Bills -9; Over/Under: 47 points
Season Record
New York Jets: 4-11 (3rd place, AFC East)
Buffalo Bills: 12-3 (1st place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
New York Jets: lost their last game at home against the Los Angeles Rams 19-9.
Buffalo Bills: won their last game at home against the New England Patriots 24-21.
New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Preview and Analysis
The Jets are entering this game with a 4-11 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-5 in their home games, 2-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 19-9. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 28/42 passes for 256 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 52. Davante Adams led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Jamien Sherwood led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Tony Adams came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Bills are entering this game with a 12-3 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 24-21. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 16/29 passes for 154 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 100 and 1 TD. James Cook led the receivers with 26 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Terrel Bernard led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Baylon Spector and Austin Johnson each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Cam Lewis came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Jets vs Bills Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bills listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bills have looked really good in their games this season with their 12-3 record overall which has them leading the AFC East with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They have looked great on their home field this year with their 7-0 home record, and a lot of those games have been blowouts too. Meanwhile, the Jets have looked terrible in their games this season with their 4-11 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AFC East and out of playoff contention. They have looked a lot better in their last few games with their offense playing better, but the defense has been a big issue for them. They have been giving up a ton of points lately and they won't be able to stop this Bills offense at home that has been rolling lately. The Jets have been putting up more points over the last few weeks, but they had another dud last week with a 19-9 loss at home to the Rams and there is just no consistency. The Jets will put up some points on this Bills defense, but it won't be enough to keep up with the Bills on offense at home, especially with the way the Jets have been giving up points on defense lately. The Bills will be able to have control of this game and they will eventually pull away in it. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bills to cover the spread in this game.
Jets Bills Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 29, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bills 34 Jets 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
New York Jets: 19-29 ATS in all games. 5-12 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 4-10 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 12-6 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 11-5 UNDER versus division opponents. 10-5 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game.
Buffalo Bills: 16-10 1H ATS as a home favorite. 10-5 1H ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 9-5 1H ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 21-13 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-5 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.
Key Injuries
New York Jets: D. Adams (WR) Injured - Hip. M. Carter (CB) Injured - Back. S. Gardner (CB) Injured - Hamstring. B. McGregor (DE) Injured - Ankle. M. Moses (OL) Injured - Knee. A. Vera-Tucker (G) Injured - Ankle. T. Adams (SAF) Injured - Ankle. H. Reddick (LB) Injured - Neck. J. Simpson (OL) Injured - Calf. Q. Williams (DL) Injured - Hamstring. A. Rodgers (QB) Injured - Knee.
Buffalo Bills: S. Martin (P) Injured - Back. D. Smoot (DE) Injured - Wrist. M. Milano (LB) Injured - Biceps. J. Phillips (DT) Injured - Back. C. Samuel (WR) Injured - Rib. R. Douglas (CB) Injured - Knee. J. Allen (QB) Injured - Elbow. C. Lewis (DB) Injured - Shoulder. Q. Morris (TE) Injured - Shoulder. D. Hamlin (SAF) Injured - Rib. T. Rapp (SAF) Injured - Neck. D. Williams (LB) Injured - Elbow. D. Kincaid (TE) Injured - Knee. S. Brown (T) Injured - Neck. D. Carter (DT) Injured - Wrist.
Notable Quotes
“The rhythm disappeared, I think.” - Aaron Rodgers after their loss against the LA Rams in their last game.
“It took a good five to ten minutes, so just making sure, trying to get some blood flow back in there. So it was a weird feeling. Just glad it’s gone now.” - Josh Allen on his injury after their win against the Patriots in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Lazard, Allen
WR Adams, Davante
TE Ruckert, Jeremy
QB Rodgers, Aaron
RB Hall, Breece
Buffalo Bills
WR Coleman, Keon
WR Cooper, Amari
WR Shakir, Khalil
TE Kincaid, Dalton
QB Allen, Josh
RB Cook, James
FB Gilliam, Reggie
Statistical Leaders
New York Jets
Passing: A. Rodgers (3511)
Rushing: B. Hall (774)
Receiving: G. Wilson (987)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (7)
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (3549)
Rushing: J. Cook (928)
Receiving: K. Shakir (796)
Touchdowns: J. Cook (16)
Coaches:
New York Jets: Jeff Ulbrich (Interim)
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
