by Rod Pearson
Friday, Dec 20, 2024
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, December 23, 2024
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Saints +14, Packers -14; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Saints +14, Packers -14; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Saints +14, Packers -14; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Season Record
New Orleans Saints: 5-9 (3rd place, NFC South)
Green Bay Packers: 10-4 (3rd place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
New Orleans Saints: lost their last game at home against the Washington Commanders 20-19.
Green Bay Packers: won their last game on the road against the Seattle Seahawks 30-13.
New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Saints are entering this game with a 5-9 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-5 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Washington Commanders 20-19. Jake Haener was the starting QB and he completed 4/10 passes for 49 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception before getting replaced by Spencer Rattler who completed 10/21 passes for 135 yards and 1 TD. Kendre Miller led the team in rushing yards with 46. Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Demario Davis led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Cameron Jordan and Chase Young each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Packers are entering this game with a 10-4 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 30-13. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 20/27 passes for 229 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 94 and 1 TD. Christian Watson led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Kingsley Enagbare led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Kingsley Enagbare led the defense in sacks with 2. Edgerrin Cooper and Carrington Valentine each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Saints vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 14 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers have looked really good in their games this season with their 10-4 record overall, but that record only has them in 3rd place of the NFC North. They are in a Wild Card spot and are likely going to make the playoffs, but they haven't clinched a spot officially so they are going to bring their best effort to make that happen. Meanwhile, the Saints have looked terrible in their games this season with their 5-9 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NFC South. They aren't making the playoffs this season and their season is pretty much over. They also lost their starting QB Derek Carr and will be going with Spencer Rattler here. Rattler looked good when he came in the game last week and he has shown some flashes this season, but they are missing so many key players on offense that they are going to struggle against this defense. They don't have a great defense either and this Packers offense has looked a lot better over the last month, being a big threat both on the ground and through the air, so the Saints will struggle to stop them at Lambeau and Green Bay will be able to pull away throughout the game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game.
Saints Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, December 23, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Packers 34 Saints 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
New Orleans Saints: 19-28 ATS in all games. 8-15 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 3-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 29-19 UNDER in all games. 9-4 UNDER as a road underdog. 7-2 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more.
Green Bay Packers: 9-3 ATS off a road win. 15-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 8-5 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 6-3 UNDER after a win by 14 or more points. 4-1 UNDER after a 2 game road trip. 13-7 1H UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.
Key Injuries
New Orleans Saints: A. Kamara (RB) Injured - Groin. D. Carr (QB) Injured - Hand. M. Valdes-Scantling (WR) Injured - Chest. C. Young (DE) Injured - Illness. J. Johnson (TE) Injured - Foot. C. Olave (WR) Injured - Head. B. Means (WR) Injured - Ankle. K. McKinstry (CB) Injured - Shoulder.
Green Bay Packers: J. Alexander (CB) Injured - Knee. Q. Walker (LB) Injured - Ankle. C. Ballentine (CB) Injured - Knee. L. Musgrave (TE) Injured - Ankle. J. Bullard (SAF) Injured - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“Just a mixture of emotions because we walk off the field with a loss, but I don’t now if I’ve ever been more proud of the team.” - Darren Rizzi after his team’s loss against the Commanders in their last game.
“This is a tough place to play, it’s extremely loud, and I was shocked when our defense was on the field and I could hear our Packer fans. I definitely think that made a difference for us.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Seahawks in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New Orleans Saints
WR Austin Jr., Kevin
WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez
WR Wilson Jr., Cedrick
TE Moreau, Foster
QB Rattler, Spencer
RB Miller, Kendre
FB Prentice, Adam
Green Bay Packers
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Watson, Christian
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Kraft, Tucker
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jacobs, Josh
Statistical Leaders
New Orleans Saints
Passing: D. Carr (2145)
Rushing: A. Kamara (950)
Receiving: A. Kamara (543)
Touchdowns: A. Kamara (8)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (2953)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (1147)
Receiving: J. Reed (727)
Touchdowns: J. Jacobs (13)
Coaches:
New Orleans Saints: Darren Rizzi (Interim)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
