New Mexico Lobos vs Marquette Golden Eagles Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/21/2025

Game Time: 7:25 pm ET, Friday, March 21, 2025

Venue:  Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  TBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  New Mexico +3.5, Marquette -3.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  New Mexico +3.5, Marquette -3.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  New Mexico +3.5, Marquette -3.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

New Mexico Lobos:  26-7 (17-3) (1st place, MWC)

Marquette Golden Eagles:  23-10 (13-7) (5th place, Big East)

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New Mexico Lobos:  4-1  last 5

Marquette Golden Eagles:  2-3  last 5

New Mexico is entering this game with a 26-7 record overall, a 17-3 record in conference games, and they are 3-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Boise State Broncos in their last game. Donovan Dent led the team in points in that game with 23 while Nelly Junior Joseph was next on the team with 19. Donovan Dent led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Nelly Junior Joseph led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 39.7% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 72.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.8 PPG against them. New Mexico has an ATS record of 15-17 this season and their O/U record is 14-18.

Marquette is entering this game with a 23-10 record overall, a 13-7 conference record, and they are 2-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the St John’s Red Storm in their last game. Kameron Jones led the team in points in that game with 24 while Stevie Mitchell was next on the team with 11. David Joplin and Kameron Jones each led the team in assists with 2 in that game while David Joplin led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 39% from the field, 20.7% from 3-point range, and 61.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.5 PPG against them. Marquette has an ATS record of 14-18-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-18-2.

The current betting odds have Marquette listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Marquette has looked really good in their games this season with their 23-10 record overall and their 13-7 conference record which had them in the top half of the Big East. They only played in 2 neutral site games this season, but they were 2-0 in those games. Meanwhile, New Mexico has looked great in their games this season with their 26-7 record overall and their 17-1 conference record which had them right at the top of the MWC. They were only 3-2 in their neutral site games this year, but they had the best record in the Mountain West during the regular season. They are 4-1 in their last 5 games but as good as they have been this season, they are still coming off a loss to Boise State in their last one and couldn't win the MWC Tournament. Marquette didn't win their conference tournament either and they didn't even win the regular season, but that is only going to motivate them more in this tournament. They haven't looked great lately as they are 2-3 in their last 5 games and coming off a loss to St John's in their last one, but 2 of those 3 losses also came against St John's who has been running the Big East all season. Marquette has been a ranked team for most of the season and as good as New Mexico has been, they still played in a weaker conference and the Mountain West usually struggles in this tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on Marquette to cover the spread in this game. 

New Mexico Marquette Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 21, 2025 (7:25 pm ET start time) is Marquette 85 New Mexico 78.

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New Mexico Lobos: 12-6 ATS in all neutral court games. 22-13 ATS in non-conference games. 24-16 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 12-6 1H UNDER in all neutral court games. 8-2 1H UNDER in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 159.5. 22-13 1H UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

Marquette Golden Eagles: 23-32 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more. 17-23 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 16-23 1H ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 14-4 UNDER in all neutral court games. 26-14 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.

New Mexico Lobos:  S. Douma-Sanchez (G) Out - Shoulder.

Marquette Golden Eagles:  A. Amadou (F) Out - Redshirt. S. Jones (G) Out - Redshirt.

“I’ve watched Marquette three times because of St John’s, so I’ve got a high level of respect for them.” - Richard Pitino on his team playing Marquette in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.

“Today was in some ways, the opposite, because we got up earlier in the game, we had a lead. Sometimes, when we get up earlier, it’s almost fool’s gold, it’s like a false sense of where you need to be, but you know it’s going to be a long game.” - Shaka Smart after his team’s loss against St John’s in the Big East Tournament.

M. Amzil 

F. Borvicanin 

D. Dent 

N. Joseph 

T. Washington

B. Gold 

K. Jones 

D. Joplin 

S. Mitchell 

C. Ross

PPG: D. Dent (20.6)

APG: D. Dent (6.4)

Reb/G: N. Joseph (11.2)

PPG: K. Jones (19.3)

APG: K. Jones (5.9)

Reb/G: D. Joplin (5.5)

Coaches:

New Mexico Lobos: Richard Pitino (4th season)

Marquette Golden Eagles: Shaka Smart (4th season)