by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 30, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 3, 2024
Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Patriots +3.5, Titans -3.5; Over/Under: 38 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Patriots +3, Titans -3; Over/Under: 38 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Patriots +3.5, Titans -3.5; Over/Under: 38 points
Season Record
New England Patriots: 2-6 (3rd place, AFC East)
Tennessee Titans: 1-6 (4th place, AFC South)
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Recent Form
New England Patriots: won their last game at home against the New York Jets 25-22.
Tennessee Titans: lost their last game on the road against the Detroit Lions 52-14.
New England Patriots vs Tennessee Titans Preview and Analysis
The Patriots are entering this game with a 2-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 25-22. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 3/6 passes for 23 passing yards before leaving injured and getting replaced by Jacoby Brissett who completed 15/24 passes for 132 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 48 and 2 TDs. Kayshon Boutte led the receivers with 46 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Marcus Jones led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Christian Elliss led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Titans are entering this game with a 1-6 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 52-14. Mason Rudolph was the starting QB and he completed 22/38 passes for 266 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing yards with 94. Calvin Ridley led the receivers with 143 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Quandre Diggs led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Arden Key led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Patriots vs Titans Prediction
The current betting odds have the Titans listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Titans have looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-6 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC South. They have been struggling on offense all season and are now on their backup QB Mason Rudolph. They put up a fight in their game last week as they came out strong against the Lions, that game being tied 14-14 at one point, but the Lions pulled away shortly after to win the game 52-14. The Titans have also had a really tough stretch of schedule lately so they will be looking to bounce back in this one at home against a team that hasn't been any better this season. The Patriots have also looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-6 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC East. They are coming off a win over the Jets in their last one, but that was also a game they won without getting much done on offense. The offense has been a big issue for the Patriots all season and they were starting to look better lately with Drake Maye starting, but he got injured against the Jets and Brissett had to lead the team to victory. Brissett hasn't looked great in his few starts this season though and this is going to be a Titans team that is desperate for a win at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Titans to cover the spread in this game.
Patriots Titans Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 3, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Titans 20 Patriots 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
New England Patriots: 14-25 ATS in all games. 8-19 ATS as an underdog. 0-6 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 7-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 5-1 UNDER vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 4-0 UNDER versus poor offensive teams - averaging 285 yards/game or less.
Tennessee Titans: 6-3 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points. 5-1 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 6-2 ATS vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game. 26-15 UNDER in all games. 9-2 UNDER as a favorite. 9-2 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att.
Key Injuries
New England Patriots: B. Schooler (SAF) Questionable - Illness. K. Dugger (SAF) Questionable - Ankle. D. Ekuale (DT) Questionable - Abdomen. R. McMillan (LB) Questionable - Back. S. Sow (G) Questionable - Illness. J. Polk (WR) Out - Concussion. K. White (DE) Questionable - Ankle. L. Robinson (G) Out - Ankle. M. Jordan (G) Questionable - Ankle. S. Takitaki (LB) Questionable - Knee. J. Jones (CB) Questionable - Shoulder. V. Lowe (T) Questionable - Ankle. C. Jacobs (LB) Injured - Knee. M. Mapu (SAF) Injured - Neck. R. Stevenson (RB) Injured - Foot. K. Bourne (WR) Injured - Knee. A. Jennings (LB) Injured - Shoulder. D. Maye (QB) Injured - Knee.
Tennessee Titans: J. Brownlee (CB) Questionable - Ankle. J. Baker (LB) Questionable - Rest. T. Sweat (NT) Questionable - Hip. C. Ridley (WR) Injured - Foot. J. Duncan (OL) Out - Hamstring. J. Chestnut (RB) Injured - Calf. L. Sneed (CB) Out - Quad. J. Simmons (DT) Injured - Rest. K. Murray (LB) Injured - Shoulder. W. Levis (QB) Questionable - Shoulder. K. Coburn (DL) Injured - Knee. T. Spears (RB) Out - Hamstring. C. Gray (LB) Out - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
"There comes a point in time where they know — everyone knows, the fans know — it’s a run play. You've got to really just defeat the man across from you. Fortunately our guys got movement and we scored.” - Jerod Mayo after his team’s win against the Jets in their last game.
“You’re going to get blown out by every team in the league turning the ball over four times. We just don’t complement each other at all. Right now, our special teams gives up yards, our defense doesn’t get a stop and we don’t do anything on offense and we turn it over. Everything needs to be better.” - Brian Callahan after his team’s loss against the Lions in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New England Patriots
WR Boutte, Kayshon
WR Bourne, Kendrick
WR Douglas, DeMario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Brissett, Jacoby
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
Tennessee Titans
WR Ridley, Calvin
WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick
WR Boyd, Tyler
TE Okonkwo, Chig
QB Rudolph, Mason
RB Pollard, Tony
Statistical Leaders
New England Patriots
Passing: J. Brissett (828)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (422)
Receiving: H. Henry (358)
Touchdowns: R. Stevenson (5)
Tennessee Titans
Passing: W. Levis (699)
Rushing: T. Pollard (494)
Receiving: C. Ridley (326)
Touchdowns: T. Pollard (3)
Coaches:
New England Patriots: Jerod Mayo (1st season)
Tennessee Titans: Brian Callahan (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
