by Rod Pearson
Monday, Oct 14, 2024
Game Time: 9:30 am ET, Sunday, October 20, 2024
Venue: Wembley Stadium, London, England
Where to Watch: NFL Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Patriots +5.5, Jaguars -5.5; Over/Under: 43 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Patriots +5.5, Jaguars -5.5; Over/Under: 43 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Patriots +5.5, Jaguars -5.5; Over/Under: 43 points
Season Record
New England Patriots: 1-5 (4th place, AFC East)
Jacksonville Jaguars: 1-5 (4th place, AFC South)
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New England Patriots: lost their last game at home against the Houston Texans 41-21.
Jacksonville Jaguars: lost their last game at a neutral site against the Chicago Bears 35-16.
New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars Preview and Analysis
The Patriots are entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against the Houston Texans 41-21. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 20/33 passes for 243 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Drake Maye led the team in rushing yards with 38. Demario Douglas led the receivers with 92 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Davon Godchaux led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jaquelin Roy led the defense in sacks with 1. Marcus Jones came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Jaguars are entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against the Chicago Bears 35-16. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 23/35 passes for 234 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. D'Ernest Johnson led the team in rushing yards with 28. Evan Engram led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Ventrell Miller led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Roy Robertson-Harris and Maason Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. Andre Cisco came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Patriots vs Jaguars Prediction
The current betting odds have the Jaguars listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jaguars have looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-5 record overall. This is going to be their 2nd week in a row playing in England, but they are coming off another loss in their last one. They were blown out by the Bears in that game, but the Bears have taken some big steps over the last few weeks and are improving each week. The Jags are going to be desperate for a get right game and this is a great situation for them against another struggling team. Meanwhile, the Patriots have looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-5 record overall. They finally made the switch to Drake Maye last week and the offense looked a lot better, putting up 21 points against the Texans, but that game was also at home and they put up so many points because the defense also gave up 41. Nothing is going right for the Patriots at the moment and they are still trying to figure things out with their rookie head coach too. Now they have to travel to England for this game and they are getting a desperate Jaguars team that has already been there for over a week. The Jags already have a big travel advantage here, but they also have a lot more talent on their team and this is a must win game for them, no excuses. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jaguars to cover the spread in this game.
Patriots Jaguars Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 20, 2024 (9:30 am ET start time) is Jaguars 31 Patriots 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
New England Patriots: 14-24 ATS in all games. 8-18 ATS as an underdog. 3-11 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 0-5 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 7-1 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 6-1 UNDER after a loss by 14 or more points. 5-0 UNDER vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season.
Jacksonville Jaguars: 7-4 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 5-1 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points. 4-0 ATS versus poor offensive teams - averaging 285 yards/game or less. 7-4 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 4-1 UNDER vs. poor passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game. 4-0 UNDER versus poor offensive teams - averaging 285 yards/game or less.
Key Injuries
New England Patriots: J. Cardona (LS) Out - Calf. I. Bolden (CB) Questionable - Hamstring. D. Godchaux (DT) Injured - Elbow. M. Wilson (CB) Questionable - Groin. R. Stevenson (RB) Out - Foot. M. Jones (CB) Questionable - Groin. K. Bourne (WR) Questionable - Knee. S. Takitaki (LB) Questionable - Knee. K. Osborn (WR) Questionable - Shoulder. N. Leverett (G) Questionable - Ankle. K. Dugger (SAF) Questionable - Ankle. L. Robinson (G) Questionable - Ankle. J. Jones (CB) Injured - Shoulder. A. Jennings (LB) Questionable - Shoulder. V. Lowe (T) Injured - Knee.
Jacksonville Jaguars: T. Campbell (CB) Out - Hamstring. D. Thomas (SAF) Questionable - Hamstring. T. Etienne (RB) Injured - Shoulder. Y. Abdullah (LB) Questionable - Neck. D. Lloyd (LB) Injured - Quadricep. G. Davis (WR) Questionable - Knee. E. Engram (TE) Questionable - Hamstring. D. Savage (SAF) Injured - Quadricep.
Notable Quotes
“I thought he showed a lot of poise. I thought he went out there and controlled the huddle, got those guys out of the huddle and once again, made some plays. It’s definitely encouraging. From a team-wide perspective right now, we let him down. It was his first game, and I feel like I let him down. I’m sure all the coaches feel like we let everyone down. We’ve just got to be better.” - Jerod Mayo after his team’s loss against the Texans in their last game.
“We have to figure out how to just get out of our way and just play football. I say that, and it sounds easy, but it’s tough. It’s a tough game to play. We didn’t expect to be here in this spot, and, hey, now we have to find a way to get out of it.” - Doug Pederson after his team’s loss against the Bears in their last game.
Starting Lineups
New England Patriots
WR Polk, Ja'Lynn
WR Osborn, K.J.
WR Douglas, DeMario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Maye, Drake
RB Gibson, Antonio
Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Davis, Gabe
WR Thomas Jr., Brian
WR Kirk, Christian
TE Engram, Evan
QB Lawrence, Trevor
RB Bigsby, Tank
Statistical Leaders
New England Patriots
Passing: J. Brissett (696)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (356)
Receiving: D. Douglas (245)
Touchdowns: R. Stevenson (3)
Jacksonville Jaguars
Passing: T. Lawrence (1334)
Rushing: T. Bigsby (297)
Receiving: B. Thomas (424)
Touchdowns: B. Thomas (3)
Coaches:
New England Patriots: Jerod Mayo (1st season)
Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
