NBA March Schedule Outlook: West Contenders

 

The All-Star Break is complete and while the NBA regular season schedule goes two weeks into April, the standings will likely take form in March. Here is a look at the top Western Conference playoff threats with a look at the upcoming March schedules and what one can expect in the big picture by the end of the month. 

Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City owns a massive lead in the Western Conference standings as the Thunder will likely lock up the #1 position in the conference before the end of March. Chasing down Cleveland for the #1 overall seed may not be a huge priority and Oklahoma City has a few difficult stretches in the March schedule. The Thunder have a game at Memphis early in the month then have a mid-March gauntlet with back-to-back home games with Denver before a road trip going through Boston, Detroit, and Milwaukee in five days. Oklahoma City should maintain its current pace but one shouldn’t expect a dominant month with little incentive in the West standings. The Thunder will be chasing 60 wins, which is the most the team has posted since moving to Oklahoma City, while the Supersonics were 64-game winners in 1995-96. 

 

Memphis Grizzlies: Memphis has looked the part of a serious contender but any thoughts of catching Oklahoma City in the West standings should be wiped away with a glance at the March schedule. Memphis will be tested with two games vs. the Thunder in March plus games vs. the Cavaliers, Clippers, Lakers, and Celtics in the month. Memphis will face a five-game west road trip late in the month that should take a toll as well. Memphis could pick up a bit of ground with seven of the first nine March games at home, but this is a team that has faced one of the weakest schedules in the NBA and has a very poor record vs. the top of the league this season. The Grizzlies are only 2.5 ahead of the #5 position and it might be a slight surprise if Memphis is still in the #2 spot by the end of March.

 

Denver Nuggets: Like Memphis, Denver has a poor record vs. the top teams on the schedule and Denver is likely at risk to slide out of the top three in the West standings. The month starts in Boston and the Nuggets will also face the Thunder twice on the road plus home dates with Minnesota and the Lakers all in the first two weeks of March. A four-game road trip including stops in San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Houston will follow late in March as well. Denver has a very difficult March schedule ahead and the door may be open for another team to move up in the conference race. 

 

Los Angeles Lakers: The Lakers have had a great February and March could provide positive returns for the Lakers as well as this team shouldn’t be ruled out for a run to the top two in the Western Conference standings. There are plenty of difficult games on the March schedule but eight of the first 12 games will be at home. There are two four-game road trips ahead in March including two sets of back-to-back road games but there are plenty of winnable games mixed into the monthly path. The addition of Luka Doncic has made huge waves in the Western Conference picture and in the tight race for the #2-to-5 positions in the West, the Lakers have a reasonable remaining schedule. A break for the Lakers may also be that two games at Oklahoma City are in April, after the Thunder will likely have the #1 seed wrapped up.

 

Houston Rockets: With the big splash made by the Lakers and the more proven results from the Grizzlies and Nuggets, Houston is the forgotten team in the West race. Houston has played one of the toughest schedules in the NBA however and only the Thunder have as many top 10 wins as the Rockets. Houston has a very favorable schedule ahead In March even with a road game at Oklahoma City early in the month. Seven of the first 10 games of March will be at home for the Rockets and many of those games will be against marginal competition. Five of the final seven games of March will be on the road but only one of those road games is against a top contender. Houston had a tough February to slide in the standings, but the Rockets are only 2.0 games out of the #2 position in the West and this team has the credentials and the schedule to move up in the standings by the end of March.