by Al McMordie
Thursday, Nov 30, 2023The NBA's inaugural In-Season Tournament has concluded its Group Play round, wherein each team played four games. The Knockout round commences next week, with eight teams qualifying. The games will be played on the higher seed's home court.
Let's look at the quarterfinal match-ups for the Knockout round (odds courtesy of DraftKings):
Monday, December 4
Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers (Celtics -4.5, 236)
New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings (Kings -4.5, 232)
Tuesday, December 5
New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks (Bucks -6.5, 222.5)
Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers (Lakers -2, 223.5)
Although all eight qualifiers own winning records, they are not the top four teams from each conference. In the Eastern conference, four of its top six teams made the Knockout round, with the Orlando Magic and Philadelphia 76ers failing to advance. And in the West, the qualifiers were the conferences #5, #6, #7 and #8 teams, with its top four (Timberwolves, Nuggets, Mavericks, Thunder) failing to reach the quarterfinals. All eight teams, though, do currently have a winning record.
In the Group Play round, a total of 60 games were played. They broke down, as follows:
Home teams: 30-27-3 ATS
Road teams: 27-30-3 ATS
Favorites: 26-31-3 ATS
Underdogs: 31-26-3 ATS
Overs: 30-30
Unders: 30-30
Home favorites: 18-19-1 ATS
Home underdogs: 12-8-2 ATS
Road favorites: 8-12-2 ATS
Road underdogs: 19-18-1 ATS
Home teams off a win: 18-8-1 ATS
Home teams off a loss: 12-19-2 ATS
Road teams off a win: 12-16-2 ATS
Road teams off a loss: 15-14-1 ATS
Off ATS loss (vs. foes that were not): 17-17-3 ATS
Off ATS win (vs. foes that were not): 17-17-3 ATS
Winning teams (vs. non-winning teams): 20-10-1 ATS
Losing teams (vs. non-losing teams): 11-21-1 ATS
Revenge-minded teams: 8-10-1 ATS, including 0-2 ATS with double-revenge
Teams playing 3 games in 4 days (vs. foes that were not): 7-1-2 ATS
Teams off upset loss (vs. foes that were not): 12-3-1 ATS
Teams off upset win (vs. foes that were not): 16-9-1 ATS
Teams playing back-to-back home games: 18-10-1 ATS
Teams playing back-to-back road games: 12-14-2 ATS
Favorites priced from -1 to -3 points: 7-6-2 ATS
Favorites priced from -3.5 to -6.5 points: 7-16-1 ATS
Favorites priced from -7 to -9.5 points: 7-7 ATS
Favorites priced at -10 and higher: 5-2 ATS
Underdogs priced from +1 to +3 points: 6-7-2 ATS
Underdogs priced from +3.5 to +6.5 points: 16-7-1 ATS
Underdogs priced from +7 to +9.5 points: 7-7 ATS
Underdogs priced at +10 and higher: 2-5 ATS
O/U Line priced less than 220: 5-7 Over
O/U Line priced from 220 to 229.5: 10-16 Over
O/U Line priced at 230 and higher: 15-7 Over
Good luck, as always...
Al McMordie
Let's look at the quarterfinal match-ups for the Knockout round (odds courtesy of DraftKings):
Monday, December 4
Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers (Celtics -4.5, 236)
New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings (Kings -4.5, 232)
Tuesday, December 5
New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks (Bucks -6.5, 222.5)
Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers (Lakers -2, 223.5)
Although all eight qualifiers own winning records, they are not the top four teams from each conference. In the Eastern conference, four of its top six teams made the Knockout round, with the Orlando Magic and Philadelphia 76ers failing to advance. And in the West, the qualifiers were the conferences #5, #6, #7 and #8 teams, with its top four (Timberwolves, Nuggets, Mavericks, Thunder) failing to reach the quarterfinals. All eight teams, though, do currently have a winning record.
In the Group Play round, a total of 60 games were played. They broke down, as follows:
Home teams: 30-27-3 ATS
Road teams: 27-30-3 ATS
Favorites: 26-31-3 ATS
Underdogs: 31-26-3 ATS
Overs: 30-30
Unders: 30-30
Home favorites: 18-19-1 ATS
Home underdogs: 12-8-2 ATS
Road favorites: 8-12-2 ATS
Road underdogs: 19-18-1 ATS
Home teams off a win: 18-8-1 ATS
Home teams off a loss: 12-19-2 ATS
Road teams off a win: 12-16-2 ATS
Road teams off a loss: 15-14-1 ATS
Off ATS loss (vs. foes that were not): 17-17-3 ATS
Off ATS win (vs. foes that were not): 17-17-3 ATS
Winning teams (vs. non-winning teams): 20-10-1 ATS
Losing teams (vs. non-losing teams): 11-21-1 ATS
Revenge-minded teams: 8-10-1 ATS, including 0-2 ATS with double-revenge
Teams playing 3 games in 4 days (vs. foes that were not): 7-1-2 ATS
Teams off upset loss (vs. foes that were not): 12-3-1 ATS
Teams off upset win (vs. foes that were not): 16-9-1 ATS
Teams playing back-to-back home games: 18-10-1 ATS
Teams playing back-to-back road games: 12-14-2 ATS
Favorites priced from -1 to -3 points: 7-6-2 ATS
Favorites priced from -3.5 to -6.5 points: 7-16-1 ATS
Favorites priced from -7 to -9.5 points: 7-7 ATS
Favorites priced at -10 and higher: 5-2 ATS
Underdogs priced from +1 to +3 points: 6-7-2 ATS
Underdogs priced from +3.5 to +6.5 points: 16-7-1 ATS
Underdogs priced from +7 to +9.5 points: 7-7 ATS
Underdogs priced at +10 and higher: 2-5 ATS
O/U Line priced less than 220: 5-7 Over
O/U Line priced from 220 to 229.5: 10-16 Over
O/U Line priced at 230 and higher: 15-7 Over
Good luck, as always...
Al McMordie
