National League vs American League Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/16/2024

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Jul 14, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, July 16, 2024
Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  National League +100, American League -120; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  National League +100, American League -120; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  National League +100, American League -120; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

National League:  208-210 against American League opponents this season.
American League:  210-208 against National League opponents this season.

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All-Time Record
National League:  44-47-2 against American League in All Star games.
American League:  47-44-2 against National League in All Star games.



National League vs American League Preview and Analysis


The National League is entering this All-Star game off a win after snapping a 9 game losing streak against the American League. They will be looking to start their own run this year with some help from their All-Star lineup. The National League has 3 of their players in the starting lineup, Christian Yelich, Shohei Ohtani, and Luis Arraez, who are all in the top 5 in the MLB for batting average. They also have 2 of their starters, Shohei Ohtani and Bryce Harper, in the top 4 of the MLB for OPS this season. The National League has some solid pitching on their side as Reynaldo Lopez leads the starters with his 1.88 ERA and Ryan Helsley who leads the closers with 32 saves, but the National League has definitely been the much weaker league when it comes to pitching this season, so they are going to need to win this game with their lineup as that is their strength.


The American League is entering this All-Star game off a loss last year which ended a 9 game winning streak they were on. They will be looking to bounce back this year with some help from their All-Star lineup. The American League has dominated the National League for so many years and they are going to have an advantage here with both their lineup and their pitching staff. The American League has 2 of their players in the starting lineup, Steven Kwan and Bobby Witt Jr, who are both in the top 3 in the MLB for batting average, Kwan leading the way. They also have the leader in OPS, Aaron Judge, and 2 of their starting players are in the top 3 for OPS, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. They also have the superior pitching staff with 3 of their pitchers being in the top 4 for ERA, Tarik Skubal, Corbin Burnes, and Seth Lugo. Seth Lugo also leads the active starters in this game with 11 wins this season, and the American League has the 2nd best closer with 29 saves, Emmanuel Clase. The American League has been slightly better in talent this season so they can win this game with their offense and have the better pitching staff to lean on.




National League vs American League Prediction

The current betting odds have the American League listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Before last season, the American League had won 9 games in a row against the National League in the All-Star game. The National League finally broke that streak last season with a close 3-2 win, but the American League will be looking to bounce back here and they have dominated the National League in recent years. The American League does have the slight edge with the numbers their lineup has been putting up this season, and they also have the more trustworthy pitching staff to lean on in what could be another tight game since these games haven't seen a lot of scoring in recent years. The National League got their much needed win last year, but the American League has consistently dominated for years and they have the better players this time around to get the job done. They will also have a bit of an advantage with the World Series champion manager on their side who is very good with his pitching management. The best way to place a bet here is on the American League to win this game.

National League American League Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 16, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is American League 4 National League 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


National League: 1-9 on the moneyline in the last 10 All-Star games. 4-21-1 on the moneyline in the last 26 All-Star games. 4-0 to the under in the last 4 All-Star games. 11-5 to the under in the last 16 All-Star games.

American League: 9-1 on the moneyline in the last 10 All-Star games. 21-4-1 on the moneyline in the last 26 All-Star games. 4-0 to the under in the last 4 All-Star games. 11-5 to the under in the last 16 All-Star games. 

Key Injuries


National League:  RHP: Tyler Glasnow (LAD), LHP: Chris Sale (ATL), LHP: Ranger Suárez (PHI).

American League:  INF: Jose Altuve (HOU), INF: Rafael Devers (BOS), RHP: Logan Gilbert (SEA), OF: Kyle Tucker (HOU).


Notable Quotes


“I thought it was my time to just butt in on a really special moment. I could see you guys were having your special time with Paul. Paul … I just wanted to congratulate you. I’ve chosen you to be the starter for the National League in the 2024 All-Star game. It’s an unbelievable honor and one that’s so well deserved.” - Torey Lovullo on Paul Skenes starting in the All-Star game.


“Incredible year. When you look back at last year and the number of All-Stars, I still remember watching the game and seeing all of them out there. It was really, really cool. Of course, went on to win the World Series. Really, it’s one of those special years that’s going to be in the memory bank for a long time.” - Bruce Bochy on the All-Star game this season.


All-Star Rosters


Starting Lineups

National League
C: William Contreras (MIL)
1B: Bryce Harper (PHI)
2B: Ketel Marte (AZ)
3B: Alec Bohm (PHI)
SS: Trea Turner (PHI)
OF: Christian Yelich (MIL)
OF: Jurickson Profar (SD)
OF: Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD)
DH: Shohei Ohtani (LAD)

American League
C: Adley Rutschman (BAL)
1B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR)
2B: Marcus Semien (TEX)
3B: José Ramírez (CLE)
SS: Gunnar Henderson (BAL)
OF: Aaron Judge (NYY)
OF: Juan Soto (NYY)
OF: Steven Kwan (CLE)
DH: Yordan Alvarez (HOU)

Reserves

National League
C: Will Smith (LAD)
INF: CJ Abrams (WSH)
INF: Pete Alonso (NYM)
INF: Luis Arraez (SD)
INF: Mookie Betts (LAD)
INF: Elly De La Cruz (CIN)
INF: Freddie Freeman (LAD)
INF: Ryan McMahon (COL)
OF: Teoscar Hernández (LAD)
OF: Jackson Merrill (SD)
OF: Heliot Ramos (SF)
OF: Bryan Reynolds (PIT)
DH: Marcell Ozuna (ATL)

American League
C: Salvador Perez (KC)
INF: Carlos Correa (MIN)
INF: Josh Naylor (CLE)
INF: Isaac Paredes (TB)
INF: Willi Castro (MIN) +
INF: Jordan Westburg (BAL) +
INF: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC)
OF: Jarren Duran (BOS)
OF: Riley Greene (DET)
OF: Anthony Santander (BAL) +
DH: David Fry (CLE)

Starting Pitchers

National League
LHP: Max Fried (ATL) +
RHP: Hunter Greene (CIN) +
LHP: Shota Imanaga (CHC)
RHP: Reynaldo López (ATL)
LHP: Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) +
RHP: Paul Skenes (PIT)
RHP: Logan Webb (SF)
RHP: Zack Wheeler (PHI)

American League
LHP: Tyler Anderson (LAA)
RHP: Corbin Burnes (BAL)
LHP: Garrett Crochet (CWS)
RHP: Logan Gilbert (SEA)
RHP: Tanner Houck (BOS)
RHP: Seth Lugo (KC)
LHP: Cole Ragans (KC)
LHP: Tarik Skubal (DET)

Relief Pitchers

National League
RHP: Ryan Helsley (STL)
RHP: Jeff Hoffman (PHI)
LHP: Tanner Scott (MIA)
LHP: Matt Strahm (PHI)
RHP: Robert Suarez (SD)

American League
RHP: Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
RHP: Clay Holmes (NYY)
RHP: Andrés Muñoz (SEA) +
RHP: Mason Miller (OAK)
RHP: Kirby Yates (TEX)

Statistical Leaders


National League
Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.349)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (122)
Home Runs:  Shohei Ohtani (29)
RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (77)
Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (46)
Wins:  Chris Sale (13)
Saves:  Ryan Helsley (32)
ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (1.12)

American League
Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.352)
Hits:  Bobby Witt (125)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (34)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (85)
Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (22)
Wins:  Seth Lugo (11)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (29)
ERA:  Emmanuel Clase (0.81)

Managers:
National League: Torey Lovullo (Arizona Diamondbacks)
American League: Bruce Bochy (Texas Rangers)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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