Montreal Canadiens: 39-30-9 (5th place, Atlantic Division)
Toronto Maple Leafs: 48-26-4 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
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Montreal Canadiens: 6-3-1 last 10
Toronto Maple Leafs: 7-2-1 last 10
Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview and Analysis
The Canadiens are entering this game with 87 points, a 39-30-9 record overall, and they are 17-18-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Detroit Red Wings in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Ottawa Senators still to be played on Friday night. In their game against the Red Wings, Josh Anderson, Brendan Gallagher, Nick Suzuki, and Cole Caufield each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Josh Anderson, Brendan Gallagher, Nick Suzuki, Alexandre Carrier, Christian Dvorak, Jake Evans, and Mike Matheson each led the team in assists with 1 while Mike Matheson led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Sam Montembeault was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 36 shots with 35 saves and a .972 save percentage. Their offense has scored 236 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 253 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.
The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 100 points, a 48-26-4 record overall, and they are 25-13-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Tampa Bay Lightning in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-3 in overtime. Matthew Knies recorded the hattrick as he led the team in goals scored with 3 while Mitchell Marner scored 1 goal for them in that one. Auston Matthews led the team in assists with 3 while Matthew Knies led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Anthony Stolarz was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 28 shots with 25 saves and a .893 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 255 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 227 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.
Canadiens vs Maple Leafs Prediction
The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Maple Leafs have looked really good in their games this season with their 48-26-4 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked great on their home ice too with their 25-13-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Canadiens have looked good in their games this season with their 39-30-9 record this season which has them in 5th place of their division in the East and in a Wild Card spot. They haven't been a good road team though with their 17-18-4 road record this season. They haven't clinched their playoff spot yet either, and they are the only team in the East that hasn't so the few remaining teams that are still in the playoff hunt are all playing for this last spot that the Canadiens are in. They have been really hot lately as they are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 6 wins in a row now, but they aren't in a good situation here. They are playing this game on a back-to-back so the Maple Leafs have a big rest advantage having last played on Wednesday. The Leafs have also been really hot lately themselves, going 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. They are also coming off a win over the Lightning in their last one, and they are only 3 points ahead of the Lightning for 1st place in the division so they are still fighting to lock up that number 1 spot in their division and would love to deliver a blow to the Canadiens in the playoff hunt too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Maple Leafs to win this game and on the puckline.
Canadiens Maple Leafs Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Saturday, April 12, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 5 Canadiens 3.
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NHL Betting Trends
Montreal Canadiens: 99-142 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-31 (+12.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 79-104 (+13.8 units) on the moneyline against poor power play killing teams - opp score on over 17.5% of chances. 29-22 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).
Toronto Maple Leafs: 151-107 (-15 units) on the moneyline in all games. 88-59 (-17.5 units) on the moneyline against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game. 36-22 (-15.1 units) on the moneyline against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp. 8-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is 5.5.
Key Injuries
Montreal Canadiens: E. Heineman (LW) Day To Day - Undisclosed. K. Dach (C) Out For Season - Lower Body.
Toronto Maple Leafs: D. Kampf (C) Day To Day - Upper Body. J. McCabe (D) Day To Day - Undisclosed. M. Pacioretty (LW) Out - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“A lot of shots in the first, so it helped me really get into that game. After that we started building our game, we started playing better and better, and it was a great third period for us. We got that goal and never looked back.” - Sam Montembeault after their win against the Red Wings in their game on Tuesday.
"I was just hopping on the ice and I had trouble believing what I was seeing in front of me. Morgan [Rielly] made a really nice play to me and I was able to just catch it. I just tried to find [Knies] as quickly as possible." - Auston Matthews after their win against the Lightning in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Montreal Canadiens
LW Cole Caufield
C Nick Suzuki
RW Juraj Slafkovský
LD Mike Matheson
RD Alexandre Carrier
G Sam Montembeault
Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Matthew Knies
C Auston Matthews
RW Mitchell Marner
LD Morgan Rielly
RD Brandon Carlo
G Anthony Stolarz
Statistical Leaders
Montreal Canadiens
Points: N. Suzuki (86)
Goals: C. Caufield (37)
Assists: N. Suzuki (58)
GAA: S. Montembeault (2.81)
Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: M. Marner (97)
Goals: W. Nylander (44)
Assists: M. Marner (72)
GAA: A. Stolarz (2.28)
Coaches:
Montreal Canadiens: Martin St. Louis (3rd season)
Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
