Missouri Tigers vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/12/2024

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 12, 2024

Venue:  McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Amherst, MA

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mizzou -27.5, UMass +27.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mizzou -27.5, UMass +27.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mizzou -27.5, UMass +27.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Missouri Tigers:  4-1 (1-1) (9th place, SEC)

UMass Minutemen:  1-5 (0-0) (FBS Independents)

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Missouri Tigers:  lost their last game on the road against the Texas A&M Aggies 41-10.

UMass Minutemen:  lost their last game on the road against the Northern Illinois Huskies 34-20.

Missouri is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Texas A&M 41-10. Brady Cook was the starting QB and he completed 13/31 passes for 186 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Nate Noel led the team in rushing yards with 30. Luther Burden III led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Dreyden Norwood led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Zion Young led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

UMass is entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Northern Illinois 34-20. Taisun Phommachanh was the starting QB and he completed 15/30 passes for 263 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. CJ Hester led the team in rushing yards with 71. Jakobie Keeney-James led the receivers with 87 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jalen Stewart led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 9 assisted tackles while Christian LeBrun led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Missouri listed as a 27.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Missouri has looked good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall, but they are 1-1 in their conference games. They are coming off their first loss of the season which was a conference loss to Texas A&M on the road. They got embarrassed in that game and were down early on, but they will be looking to bounce back here and blow off some steam after that loss. Meanwhile, UMass has looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-5 record overall. They only have 1 win this season and that win was at home against a team from the FCS, only winning that game by 4 points and giving up 31 in the process. They have played in some closer games this season, but they have also been blown out in a few games and they have been facing weaker teams all season too. All 4 of their FBS opponents have been from the MAC, but now they are getting a big step up in competition with a team from the SEC. Mizzou is coming off a loss too so they aren't going to go lightly in this game as they look to get right. UMass doesn't have the offense to put up points on this defense and the Missouri offense will be looking to have a much better day after scoring just 10 points in their loss. The best way to place a bet here is on Missouri to cover the spread in this game. 

Missouri UMass Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 12, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Missouri 45 UMass 10.

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Missouri Tigers: 11-4 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 4-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 6-1 1H ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 5-0 1H ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 

UMass Minutemen: 3-9 ATS in home games. 1-4 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 4-8 1H ATS in home games. 1-4 1H ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56.

Missouri Tigers:  J. Wayne (CB) Questionable - Hamstring. S. Horn (QB) Out - Elbow. D. Smith (DE) Out - Knee.

UMass Minutemen:  None.

"We weren’t competitive and that’s not Mizzou football.” - Eli Drinkwitz after his team’s loss against Texas A&M in their last game. 

“I thought our guys showed up ready, willing and able and competed hard. Second half, we did not do a good job defending the run. And we were not consistent enough on offense.” - Don Brown after his team’s loss against NIU in their last game. 

WR Wease Jr., Theo 

WR Cooper, Mookie 

WR Burden III, Luther 

TE Norfleet, Brett 

QB Cook, Brady

RB Noel, Nate 

WR Gibson, Jacquon

WR Keeney-James, Jakobie

WR Galban, Sterling 

TE Mazotti, Dominick

QB Phommachanh, Taisun

RB John, Jalen

Passing: B. Cook (1132)

Rushing: N. Noel (471)

Receiving: T. Wease (359)

Touchdowns: L. Burden (5)

Passing: T. Phommachanh (1280)

Rushing: T. Phommachanh (253)

Receiving: J. Keeney-James (493)

Touchdowns: J. Keeney-James (3)

Coaches:

Missouri Tigers: Eli Drinkwitz (5th season)

UMass Minutemen: Don Brown (3rd season)