Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/14/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Venue:  Neville Arena, Auburn, AL

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MS State +7.5, Auburn -7.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MS State +7.5, Auburn -7.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MS State +7.5, Auburn -7.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  14-2 (2-1) (6th place, SEC)

Auburn Tigers:  15-1 (3-0) (1st place, SEC)

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Mississippi State Bulldogs:  4-1  last 5

Auburn Tigers:  5-0  last 5

Mississippi State is entering this game with a 14-2 record overall, a 2-1 record in conference games, and they are 3-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Kentucky Wildcats in their last game. Cameron Matthews led the team in points per game in that game with 19 while Josh Hubbard was next on the team with 15. Shawn Jones Jr. led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Cameron Matthews led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45.1% from the field, 30% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.3 PPG against them. Mississippi State has an ATS record of 9-7 this season and their O/U record is 8-8.

Auburn is entering this game with a 15-1 record overall, a 3-0 conference record, and they are 7-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game. Tahaad Pettiford led the team in points in that game with 15 while Miles Kelly was next on the team with 14. Denver Jones led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Dylan Cardwell led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 45.6% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 50% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 86.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66 PPG against them. Auburn has an ATS record of 9-6-1 this season and their O/U record is 9-7.

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn has looked great in their games this season with their 15-1 record overall and their 3-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC. They have looked great on their home court with their 7-0 home record and they are coming off a win over South Carolina in their last one. Meanwhile, Mississippi State has looked really good in their games this season with their 14-2 record overall and their 2-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have looked great in their road games this year with their 3-0 road record, but they are coming off a loss in their last one against Kentucky. Mississippi State has looked really good to start the season as they are ranked inside the top 25 and have been blowing out a lot of their opponents, but Auburn also wins in a lot of blowouts and they by far have one of the best teams in the nation this season. Mississippi State will be looking to bounce back from their loss, but this is a terrible team to face on the road when looking for a bounce back win and Auburn has all the momentum on their side right now with 8 wins in a row. Both teams are really good and ranked inside the top 25, but Auburn has a lot more talent and will be looking to add this ranked win to their resume. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game. 

Mississippi State Auburn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 14, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Auburn 87 Mississippi State 76.

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Mississippi State Bulldogs: 4-7 ATS as a road underdog or pick. 22-33 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 turnovers/game or less. 9-17 1H ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 6-1 UNDER after allowing 85 points or more. 4-0 UNDER after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher. 

Auburn Tigers: 7-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 17-10 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 12-4 1H ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 10-4 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 8-2 1H UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  None.

Auburn Tigers:  None.

“I thought early in the game, we were a little uncharacteristic of this team. Talking here a lot about how unselfish our team is and how we share the basketball and how we work together offensively, and I just was a little surprised by some of our shots that we took.” - Chris Jans after his team’s loss against Kentucky in their last game. 

“I just want to reward Auburn for giving me the opportunity. That's how I look at it. I go to work every day, and I just try to reward Auburn for giving me the chance to be their basketball coach and letting me be a part of this Auburn family. I mean it from the bottom of my heart, so I'm grateful for our coaches and the players.” - Bruce Pearl on having one of the best teams in the nation this season.

C. Harris 

J. Hubbard 

C. Matthews 

R. Melendez 

M. Nwoko

C. Baker-Mazara 

J. Broome 

D. Cardwell 

D. Jones 

M. Kelly

PPG: J. Hubbard (17)

APG: C. Matthews (4)

Reb/G: K. Murphy (7.4)

PPG: J. Broome (17.9)

APG: J. Broome (3.3)

Reb/G: J. Broome (10.7)

Coaches:

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Chris Jans (3rd season)

Auburn Tigers: Bruce Pearl (11th season)