by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 02, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 5, 2024
Venue: Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Ole Miss -9.5, South Carolina +9.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Ole Miss -9.5, South Carolina +9.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Ole Miss -9.5, South Carolina +9.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Season Record
Mississippi Rebels: 4-1 (0-1) (13th place, SEC)
South Carolina Gamecocks: 3-1 (1-1) (8th place, SEC)
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Mississippi Rebels: lost their last game at home against the Kentucky Wildcats 20-17.
South Carolina Gamecocks: won their last game at home against the Akron Zips 50-7.
Mississippi Rebels vs South Carolina Gamecocks Preview and Analysis
Ole Miss is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Kentucky 20-17. Jaxson Dart was the starting QB and he completed 18/27 passes for 261 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Henry Parrish Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 62 and 1 TD. Tre Harris led the receivers with 176 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 1 TD. Trey Washington led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Suntarine Perkins led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
South Carolina is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Akron 50-7. Robby Ashford was the starting QB and he completed 15/21 passes for 243 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Robby Ashford led the team in rushing yards with 133 and 1 TD. Gage Larvadain led the receivers with 79 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Demetrius Knight II led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Rondarius Porter led the defense in sacks with 1. DQ Smith came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Mississippi vs South Carolina Prediction
The current betting odds have South Carolina listed as a 9.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. South Carolina has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall and their 1-1 conference record. Their 1 loss this season was against LSU in a game they were leading for a lot of the time, but they still looked really good in that game with their offense rolling. Their 1 conference win was a road blow out over Kentucky and now they are coming off another blow out win against Akron at home. Meanwhile, Ole Miss has looked good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall, but they are 0-1 in their conference games. They looked great in their 4 wins, but they didn't really play any strong teams in those and it showed in their last one. They are coming off a home loss against Kentucky in their last one and Kentucky hasn't looked that great this season. Ole Miss has a really strong offense with a good run and pass game, but they couldn't get anything done against Kentucky's defense. South Carolina has looked good on defense this season so they are going to be able to get some stops in this game. Ole Miss will be looking to bounce back with a better performance, but this is still going to be a really tough game with it being their first conference road game of the season. South Carolina has been rolling on offense in all of their games too, so even if they can't stop this Ole Miss offense with their defense, South Carolina is going to put up points on this Ole Miss defense that was exposed against a bad Kentucky offense last week. The best way to place a bet here is on South Carolina to cover the spread in this game.
Mississippi South Carolina Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 5, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 31 South Carolina 28.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Mississippi Rebels: 5-9 ATS against conference opponents. 1-4 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 3-6 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 16-8 UNDER as a favorite. 4-0 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 11-6 UNDER after playing a game at home.
South Carolina Gamecocks: 11-6 ATS in home lined games. 6-1 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 10-5 ATS after playing a game at home. 7-4 UNDER off a home win. 6-3 UNDER after scoring 37 points or more last game. 4-1 1H UNDER after a 2 game home stand.
Key Injuries
Mississippi Rebels: I. Hartrup (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Price (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. James (OL) Questionable - Hand. L. Diggs (RB) Out - Knee.
South Carolina Gamecocks: L. Sellers (QB) Questionable - Ankle. J. Moore (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Floyd (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Colasurdo (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
"Beyond disappointing. It’s a disappointing day. The game comes down at the end with us having a chance to win in every phase and we didn’t do it. Got to give credit to Stoops.” - Lane Kiffin after his team’s loss against Kentucky in their last game.
“Obviously, this was a tough week, coming off last week. We certainly had a bitter disappointment last week, but our guys responded the right way.” - Shane Beamer after his team’s win against Akron in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Mississippi Rebels
WR Wells Jr., Antwane
WR Harris, Tre
WR Lee, Cayden
TE Prieskorn, Caden
QB Dart, Jaxson
RB Parrish Jr., Henry
South Carolina Gamecocks
WR Brown, Jared
WR Jacobs, Vandrevius
WR Bennett Jr., Mazeo
TE Simon, Joshua
TE Hunt, Brady
QB Sellers, LaNorris
RB Sanders, Raheim
Statistical Leaders
Mississippi Rebels
Passing: J. Dart (1815)
Rushing: H. Parrish (489)
Receiving: T. Harris (804)
Touchdowns: H. Parrish (8)
South Carolina Gamecocks
Passing: L. Sellers (393)
Rushing: R. Sanders (286)
Receiving: M. Bennett (159)
Touchdowns: R. Sanders (4)
Coaches:
Mississippi Rebels: Lane Kiffin (5th season)
South Carolina Gamecocks: Shane Beamer (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
