Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/31/2024

Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 31, 2024

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY 

Where to Watch:  SNY

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -115, Mets -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -115, Mets -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -115, Mets -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Minnesota Twins:  58-47 (2nd place, AL Central)

New York Mets:  56-50 (3rd place, NL East)

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Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10

New York Mets:  7-3 last 10

The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-47 record overall and have a road record of 29-26. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Twins lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .751 OPS. Rookie pitcher David Festa is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Pablo López is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-7 with a 4.73 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 7 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Mets are entering this series off a loss and split their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-50 record overall and have a home record of 29-28. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Mets won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Sean Manaea is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Luis Severino is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-3 with a 3.58 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets have looked good in their games this season with their 56-50 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot, right behind the Braves in the division too. They haven't been great in their home games this year with their 29-28 home record though. Meanwhile, the Twins have looked great in their games this season with their 58-47 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have looked good in their road games too with their 29-26 road record, but they haven't been great in those. As good as they have looked this season, they haven't been the hotter team lately with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games while the Mets have been getting really hot lately, going 7-3 in their last 10 games. They already took the 1st game of this series with a 15-2 win and their offense has been really hot lately, climbing up the MLB rankings. They are going to have Severino on the mound here and he has looked great in his starts lately. He is 7-3 with a 3.58 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He gave up 2 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him and the team has won 3 games in a row with him starting. The Twins are going with Lopez here and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 9-7 with a 4.73 ERA and hasn't been that consistent in his starts lately. His team has won 2 of the last 3 games he started in and he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but now he will be facing a stronger offense that has been really hot and will do some damage at home. The Mets briefly passed the Braves in the standings in their last series and they are on a mission to catch them again so they are going to be motivated in this home series when they have been so hot lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

Twins Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 31, 2024 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 8 Twins 3.

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Minnesota Twins: 51-35 (+5.80 units) on the moneyline in their last 86 games. 17-13 (+4.70 units) on the runline in their last 30 games. 17-10 to the over in their last 17 games. 

New York Mets: 23-28 (-0.90 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 51 games. 27-31 (-8.90 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 58 home games. 38-28 to the over in their last 68 games. 

Minnesota Twins:  J. Miranda (3B) Ques Tues - Head. K. Funderburk (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Paddack (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Correa (SS) Out indefinitely - Heel. K. Farmer (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Mets:  F. Alvarez (C) Que Tue - Shoulder. K. Senga (SP) out for season - Shoulder. D. Nunez (SP) Early Aug - Forearm. C. Scott (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Garrett (RP) Late July - Elbow. D. Smith (RP) out of season - Elbow. B. Raley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Marte (CF) Mid July - Knee. S. Reid-Foley (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. R. Mauricio (SS) out for season - Knee.

“Those are never pleasant. The game really ran away from us very quickly. I’m not going to spend too, too much time worrying about all the things that I saw tonight. Those were things I don’t expect to see a ton of going forward. Our guys will be ready to play tomorrow." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Monday.

“Sets the tone for the rest of the series. We just all of a sudden clicked." - Pete Alonso after their win against the Twins in their game on Monday.

M Margot (R) DH

B Buxton (R) CF

R Lewis (R) 3B

C Santana (S) 1B

W Castro (S) 2B

A Martin (R) LF

R Jeffers (R) C

M Kepler (L) RF

B Lee (S) SS

F Lindor (S) SS

B Nimmo (L) LF

J Martinez (R) DH

P Alonso (R) 1B

J Winker (L) RF

M Vientos (R) 3B

J McNeil (L) 2B

L Torrens (R) C

H Bader (R) CF

Batting Average:  Diego A. Castillo (.333)

Hits:  Willi Castro (98)

Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (15)

RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (49)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (10)

Wins:  Bailey Ober (10)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (15)

ERA:  Ronny Henriquez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jose Iglesias (.342)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (110)

Home Runs:  Francisco Lindor (22)

RBI:  Brandon Nimmo (65)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (22)

Wins:  Reed Garrett (7)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (12)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (1st season)