Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/22/2023

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Tuesday, August 21, 2023

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -108, Brewers -112; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -108, Brewers -112; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -108, Brewers -112; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Minnesota Twins:  65-60 (1st place, AL Central)

Milwaukee Brewers:  68-57 (1st place, NL Central)

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Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-60 record overall and have a road record of 29-34. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Brewers on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Dallas Keuchel was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Bailey Ober is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-6 with a 3.40 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Brewers are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers in their last series. They enter this game with a 68-57 record overall and have a home record of 33-27. This is the 1st game of a 2-game series with the Twins on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .691 OPS. Adrian Houser was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Wade Miley is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-3 with a 3.05 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have been rolling in their games lately as they lead the NL Central with the best record and have been pulling away with the division lately. They don't have a good offense since it has been one of the worst in the MLB all season but they do have some of the best pitching and have been leaning on that a lot lately. The Twins haven't been playing that great in their games lately, they still lead their AL Central division but haven't been winning a lot of games lately and just like the Brewers, the Twins don't have a great offense either. They do have Ober on the mound here who hasn't been bad this season but he will have a tougher time on the road here since the Brewers offense has actually been putting up some runs in their games lately and playing a lot better now. The Brewers are also going with Miley on the mound who has been a solid starter for them all year and he will continue to pitch well at home against this weaker Twins offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Twins Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 21, 2023 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 3 Twins 1.

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Minnesota Twins: 65-60 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 11-21 (-8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 23-13 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 20-12 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Milwaukee Brewers: 29-16 (+9.1 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 37-22 (+14.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 18-9 UNDER after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. 47-26 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Minnesota Twins:  N. Gordon (2B) Mid Sept - Shin. J. Miranda (3B) Late Sept - Shoulder. A. Kirilloff (RF) Early Sept - Shoulder. B. Buxton (DH) Early Sept - Hamstring. W. Castro (LF) Early Sept - Oblique. B. Stewart (RP) Mid Sept - Elbow. J. Ryan (SP) Late Aug - Groin. J. Alcala (RP) Late Aug - Forearm. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  S. Frelick (CF) Ques Tues - Hamstring. J. Mejia (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Winker (DH) Late Aug - Back. B. Perkins (CF) Out indefinitely - Oblique. D. Ruf (DH) Late Aug - Knee. J. Wilson (RP) out for season - Arm. J. Teheran (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

“It’s not by accident that he continues to find ways to get outs, and he’s been doing it for over a decade. And he’s doing it in a way that you see less of in today’s game.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Sunday.

“He made some great pitches to Carlos, and the first two strikes to Willy were really good pitches. But we made him work and that paid off. It was a two-run inning, but the 40 pitches definitely took something out of him. To get Max Scherzer out in the fourth inning, that’s a great jo by the offense.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.

Jordan Luplow (R) LF

Donovan Solano (R) 1B

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Jorge Polanco (S) DH

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Royce Lewis (R) 3B

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Matt Wallner (L) RF

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Christian Yelich (L) LF

Mark Canha (R) RF

Carlos Santana (S) 1B

Willy Adames (R) SS

Rowdy Tellez (L) DH

Andruw Monasterio (R) 3B

Victor Caratini (S) C

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Tyrone Taylor (R) CF

Batting Average:  Royce Lewis (.319)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (98)

Home Runs:  Joey Gallo (20)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (54)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (29)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (9)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (23)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.444)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (134)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (19)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (67)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (25)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (10)

Saves:  Devin Williams (30)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)