Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/27/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 26, 2024
Game Time: 6:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 27, 2024
Venue:  Comerica Park, Detroit, MI 
Where to Watch:  BSN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +102, Tigers -122; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +100, Tigers -120; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +100, Tigers -120; Over/Under:  7 runs

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  56-45 (2nd place, AL Central)
Detroit Tigers:  51-53 (4th place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10
Detroit Tigers:  6-4 last 10



Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Preview and Analysis


The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-45 record overall and have a road record of 27-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Tigers on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Pablo López is their starting pitcher on Friday while Joe Ryan is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-6 with a 3.65 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Tigers are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-53 record overall and have a home record of 24-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .686 OPS. Rookie pitcher Keider Montero is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tarik Skubal is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 11-3 with a 2.34 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 10 hits through 7 innings played against the Cleveland Guardians.


Twins vs Tigers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Tigers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have looked really good in their games this season with their 56-45 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central, holding down a Wild Card spot, but also chasing down the Guardians in 1st place of their division. They are 27-24 in their road games this season too. Meanwhile, the Tigers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 51-53 record overall which has them in 4th place of the AL Central and out of the playoff race at the moment. They are also 24-24 in their home games this year. The Tigers have been really hot out of the All-Star break with their 6-4 record in their last 10 games while the Twins are only 4-6. The Tigers are going to have the more favorable pitching matchup in this one with Skubal on the mound. Skubal is 11-3 with a 2.34 ERA this season and he has been their ace this year. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start which has been a common theme for him all season, and his team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Twins are going to have Ryan on the mound here and he has looked good this season with his 6-6 record and his 3.65 ERA, but he has also been really up and down at times, nowhere near as consistent as Skubal has been. Ryan gave up 4 earned runs in his last start too and his team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting. The Tigers don't have a strong offense this season, but they have been putting up runs out of the All-Star break and their pitching has also been really good. All the signs point to the Tigers winning another game here as they try to climb back into a position to make a playoff run. The best way to place a bet here is on the Tigers to win this game. 

Twins Tigers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 27, 2024 (6:10 pm ET start time) is Tigers 3 Twins 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Minnesota Twins: 50-32 (+8.15 units) on the moneyline in their last 82 games. 16-10 (+8.60 units) on the runline in their last 26 games. 19-9 to the over in their last 28 games. 

Detroit Tigers: 26-37 (-3.85 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 63 games. 50-37 to the over in their last 87 games. 17-6 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 23 games. 

Key Injuries


Minnesota Twins:  B. Buxton (CF) Ques Fri - Forearm. K. Funderburk (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Paddack (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Correa (SS) Out indefinitely - Heel. J. Miranda (3B) Out indefinitely - Back. K. Farmer (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Lewis (3B) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Detroit Tigers:  R. Olson (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Carpenter (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. P. Meadows (CF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Mize (SP) Out indefinitely - Leg. S. Gipson-Long (SP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“He’s been in that spot before. He’s been in every spot before, dozens, if not hundreds of times. Nothing that is going on with this team right now is going to dramatically affect him in any negative way. He’s very prepared. He’s very focused and that was a really big swing." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Wednesday.


“The numbers aren’t there -- I’m hitting ninth for a reason -- and I need to work my way back to where the team needs me to be. When I hit it out, it felt weird, like it was the first home run of my career. But it was great.” - Javier Baez after their win against the Guardians in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Twins
W Castro (S) 3B
T Larnach (L) LF
B Buxton (R) CF
M Kepler (L) RF
C Santana (S) 1B
M Wallner (L) DH
R Jeffers (R) C
B Lee (S) SS
E Julien (L) 2B

Detroit Tigers
W Pérez (S) RF
C Keith (L) 2B
J Malloy (R) LF
R Greene (L) DH
M Vierling (R) CF
B Madris (L) 1B
Z McKinstry (L) 3B
J Rogers (R) C
J Báez (R) SS

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Diego A. Castillo (.333)
Hits:  Willi Castro (94)
Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (14)
RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (47)
Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (10)
Wins:  Bailey Ober (9)
Saves:  Jhoan Duran (15)
ERA:  Ronny Henriquez (0.00)

Detroit Tigers
Batting Average:  Bligh Madris (.300)
Hits:  Riley Greene (98)
Home Runs:  Riley Greene (17)
RBI:  Riley Greene (51)
Stolen Bases:  Wenceel Pérez (9)
Wins:  Tarik Skubal (11)
Saves:  Jason Foley (15)
ERA:  Tarik Skubal (2.34)

Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)
Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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