Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2024

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Friday, July 26, 2024

Venue:  Comerica Park, Detroit, MI 

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -175, Tigers +145; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -175, Tigers +145; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -175, Tigers +145; Over/Under:  8 runs

Minnesota Twins:  56-45 (2nd place, AL Central)

Detroit Tigers:  50-53 (4th place, AL Central)

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Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10

Detroit Tigers:  6-4 last 10

The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-45 record overall and have a road record of 27-24. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Tigers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Steven Okert was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Pablo López is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-7 with a 4.86 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Tigers won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-53 record overall and have a home record of 24-24. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Cleveland Guardians still to be played on Thursday. The Tigers won the 1st game of that series on Monday, lost the 2nd game on Tuesday, and lost the 3rd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .686 OPS. Tyler Holton is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Keider Montero is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-3 with a 5.97 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 0 BB with 3 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have looked really good in their games this season with their 56-45 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central, holding down a Wild Card spot, but also chasing down the Guardians in 1st place of their division. They are 27-24 in their road games this season too. Meanwhile, the Tigers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 50-53 record overall which has them in 4th place of the AL Central and out of the playoff race at the moment. They are also 24-24 in their home games this year. The Tigers have been really hot out of the All-Star break with their 6-4 record in their last 10 games, but the Twins are also getting hot again and will have momentum from their series win over the Phillies who have the best record in the MLB right now. The Tigers have been winning a lot of their games lately with good pitching, but they aren't going to have a great starter going in this one. Montero is on the mound in this one and he is 1-3 with a 5.97 ERA this season. He gave up 5 earned runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him in his few starts this year. His team has won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, but he really hasn't looked that good in those starts and will start to crack against a better offense. The Twins have one of the best offenses in the MLB right now and they have been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately too. They have Lopez on the mound in this one and he hasn't been lights out this season with his 8-7 record and his 4.86 ERA, but he has looked a lot better in his starts lately. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start since he has been pitching better lately and the team is due for a win with him on the mound. They also have the better offense to help him out if he does get into any trouble here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Twins Tigers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 26, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Twins 6 Tigers 4.

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Minnesota Twins: 49-32 (+7.15 units) on the moneyline in their last 81 games. 15-10 (+7.60 units) on the runline in their last 25 games. 25-15 to the over in their last 40 games. 

Detroit Tigers: 26-36 (-2.85 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 62 games. 50-37 to the over in their last 87 games. 16-6 to the over with their team total in their last 22 games. 

Minnesota Twins:  B. Buxton (CF) Ques Fri - Forearm. K. Funderburk (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Paddack (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Correa (SS) Out indefinitely - Heel. J. Miranda (3B) Out indefinitely - Back. K. Farmer (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Lewis (3B) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Detroit Tigers:  R. Olson (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Carpenter (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. P. Meadows (CF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Mize (SP) Out indefinitely - Leg. S. Gipson-Long (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“He’s been in that spot before. He’s been in every spot before, dozens, if not hundreds of times. Nothing that is going on with this team right now is going to dramatically affect him in any negative way. He’s very prepared. He’s very focused and that was a really big swing." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Wednesday.

“They’re kind of like us because they grind out at-bats and make guys work. And Barlow, Gaddis, Clase — those guys have been on a roll. One of the big reasons the Guardians have been so good all year is their bullpen.” - Matt Vierling after their loss against the Guardians in their game on Wednesday.

W Castro (S) 3B

T Larnach (L) LF

B Buxton (R) CF

M Kepler (L) RF

C Santana (S) 1B

M Wallner (L) DH

R Jeffers (R) C

B Lee (S) SS

E Julien (L) 2B

W Pérez (S) RF

C Keith (L) 2B

J Malloy (R) LF

R Greene (L) DH

M Vierling (R) CF

B Madris (L) 1B

Z McKinstry (L) 3B

J Rogers (R) C

J Báez (R) SS

Batting Average:  Diego A. Castillo (.333)

Hits:  Willi Castro (94)

Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (14)

RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (47)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (10)

Wins:  Bailey Ober (9)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (15)

ERA:  Ronny Henriquez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ryan Vilade (.296)

Hits:  Riley Greene (98)

Home Runs:  Riley Greene (17)

RBI:  Riley Greene (51)

Stolen Bases:  Wenceel Pérez (9)

Wins:  Tarik Skubal (11)

Saves:  Jason Foley (15)

ERA:  Tarik Skubal (2.34)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)

Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (4th season)