Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/26/2024

Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Friday, April 26, 2024

Venue:  Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +4, Suns -4; Over/Under:  208 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +4, Suns -4; Over/Under:  208.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Suns -3.5; Over/Under:  208.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  56-26 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Phoenix Suns:  49-33 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

Phoenix Suns:  6-4 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 56-26 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Suns in game 2 of this series, Jaden McDaniels led the team in points in that game with 25 while Rudy Gobert and Mike Conley Jr. each were next on the team with 18 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 44.9% from the field, 28.1% from 3-point range, and 86.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 42-40-2 this season and their O/U record is 42-41-1.

The Suns are entering this game with a 49-33 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Timberwolves in game 2 of this series, Devin Booker led the team in points in that game with 20 while Kevin Durant was next on the team with 18 points. Bradley Beal led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jusuf Nurkić led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 44.9% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.2 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 35-47-2 this season and their O/U record is 37-46-1.

The current betting odds have the Suns listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Timberwolves and the 6th seeded Suns for Round 1 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. The Timberwolves have a 2-0 series lead after winning game 2 of this series on their home court. The Suns played well in the first 2 games of this series but they were in the game up until halftime before the Timberwolves started to pour it on in the 2nd half of each game. The Suns have been a good road team this season and didn't have enough to win one of the first 2 games in Minnesota, but the Timberwolves also have one of the best home records in the entire NBA. The Suns have been good on the road this year but they have looked better in their home games with their 25-16 home record, and now they are going to be desperate to win this game and avoid going down 3-0 in this series. The Suns will bring their best effort here in this must win game and the Timberwolves have actually been a team that they have played very well against during the regular season. The Suns did go toe-to-toe with the Timberwolves in the first 2 games too, but they collapsed late in the game and allowed the Timberwolves to pull away. The Suns won't let that happen again with the home crowd on their side this time and they can't afford to lose this game either since no team ever comes back down 3-0 in a series. The Suns are going to throw everything they have at the Timberwolves to win this game and cut the series lead in half. The best way to place a bet here is on the Suns to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Suns Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 26, 2024 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Suns 121 Timberwolves 101.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 26-17 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 12-7 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 15-9 ATS as an underdog. 6-3 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10-3 OVER in the 3rd game of a playoff series. 13-3 OVER after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games.

Phoenix Suns: 16-24 ATS in home games. 16-23 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 3-6 ATS as a # 6 seed in the playoffs. 6-0 OVER after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more. 6-1 OVER after a combined score of 205 points or less. 

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

Phoenix Suns:  G. Allen (SG) Ques Fri - Ankle. D. Lee (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“Everyone down the list has shown they’ll be willing to do whatever it takes to sacrifice whatever it is for the betterment of the team.” - Karl-Anthony Towns after their win against the Suns in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.

“When they’re scoring on us and we’re not getting the right stops, we can’t not be organized offensively. We had too many possessions like that.” - Frank Vogel after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PG Devin Booker

SG Bradley Beal

SF Grayson Allen

PF Kevin Durant

C Jusuf Nurkic

PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)

APG: M. Conley (5.9)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

PPG: D. Booker (27.1)

APG: D. Booker (6.9)

Reb/G: J. Nurkic (11)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)

Phoenix Suns: Frank Vogel (1st season)