Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/19/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Sunday, May 19, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5, Nuggets -5; Over/Under:  197.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +4.5, Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under:  197.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  197.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  56-26 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  57-25 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 56-26 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Denver Nuggets in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 27 while Jaden McDaniels was next on the team with 21 points. Karl-Anthony Towns and Mike Conley Jr. each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 46.5% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 47-43-2 this season and their O/U record is 47-44-1.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 57-25 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 33-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 22 while Aaron Gordon was next on the team with 12 points. Jamal Murray led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 30.2% from the field, 19.4% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.6 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 43-48-2 this season and their O/U record is 39-54.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 7 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Nuggets and the 3rd seeded Timberwolves for Round 2 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 3-3 after the Timberwolves won game 6 of this series on their home court. This has been a really interesting series with the Timberwolves winning the first 2 games on the road and then the Nuggets winning their first 2 games on the road, but now each team has won their last home game to end up in this 7th game. The Timberwolves were facing elimination in the last game since they lost 3 games in a row after taking a 2-0 series lead on the road, but they bounced back to even up this series and won that game by 45 points. The Nuggets are still the defending champions though and they have found their rhythm in this series now after that slow start. They have looked a lot better in their home games all season with their 33-8 home record which was one of the best home records in the entire NBA this year, and they are going to be looking to bounce back with a much better effort here after the way they were embarrassed in game 6. The Timberwolves have won 2 of the 3 games in Denver in this series but the Nuggets have looked so good at home all season, they will show the Timberwolves why they are the defending champions and still the team to beat in the West here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game.

Timberwolves Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, May 19, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 110 Timberwolves 95.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 9-18 ATS after a huge blowout win by 30 or more. 2-7 ATS after allowing 90 points or less. 9-5 UNDER off a win against a division rival. 4-1 UNDER after the game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less. 

Denver Nuggets: 16-7 ATS off a loss against a division rival. 6-1 ATS off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival. 25-16 ATS as a # 2 seed in the playoffs. 30-19 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 14-7 UNDER when tied in a playoff series. 27-19 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

Denver Nuggets:  J. Murray (SG) Ques Sun - Elbow. V. Cancar (SF) out for season - Knee.

“We talked a lot today just about getting our edge back, our swagger, playing a little more free and easy. It just felt like we hadn’t had our best effort on both sides of the ball yet.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Nuggets in game 6 of this series on Thursday.

“That to me speaks volumes about the game and our approach.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in game 6 of this series on Thursday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)

APG: M. Conley (5.9)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

PPG: N. Jokic (26.4)

APG: N. Jokic (9)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.4)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)