Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/14/2024

Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Tuesday, May 14, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +4.5, Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under:  206 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +4.5, Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under:  206 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +4.5, Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under:  205.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  56-26 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  57-25 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 56-26 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Denver Nuggets in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Nuggets in game 4 of this series, Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 44 while Mike Conley Jr. was next on the team with 15 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 47.6% from the field, 39.3% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 46-42-2 this season and their O/U record is 46-43-1.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 57-25 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 33-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Timberwolves in game 4 of this series, Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 35 while Aaron Gordon was next on the team with 27 points. Jamal Murray led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Nikola Jokić and Aaron Gordon each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 57% from the field, 44.8% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.6 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 42-47-2 this season and their O/U record is 38-53.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Nuggets and the 3rd seeded Timberwolves for Round 2 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 2-2 after the Nuggets won game 4 of this series on the road. The Nuggets found themselves in an early hole in this series, losing both home games and going down 2-0 in the series on their way to Minnesota. The Nuggets haven't looked as good in their road games this season, but the defending champions showed exactly why they are the defending champions, winning both road games to even up this series 2-2. Now the Nuggets have all the momentum back on their side going back home with this series tied and they are going to be looking to take their 1st series lead here since they have looked a lot better on their home court all year. The Timberwolves looked really good in those 2 road games to open up the series, but now the Nuggets have them reeling with 2 losses in a row and the Timberwolves just don't have that playoff experience like the Nuggets do to get them through this situation they are in. The Nuggets are going to bring their best effort in this game to make sure they don't lose another game on their home court in this series and go back to Minnesota facing elimination. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, May 14, 2024 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 105 Timberwolves 97.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 18-9 ATS as an underdog. 26-17 ATS in road games. 10-5 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 11-1 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 14-6 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs. 18-8 UNDER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points. 27-18 UNDER off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals.

Denver Nuggets: 5-13 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 5-14 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games. 18-28 ATS off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog. 30-18 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 14-6 UNDER when tied in a playoff series. 7-0 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive road wins.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (SF) out for season - Knee.

“This is a series. We won two games, but we didn’t think it was going to be easy.” - Anthony Edwards after their loss against the Nuggets in game 4 of this series on Sunday.

“The shot-making, the play-making, the physicality, the defense on two All-Stars, so much is being asked of him right now. What you love about Aaron Gordon since Day 1, when he put on that Nuggets uniform, It’s always been about the Nuggets first. He is truly selfless.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in game 4 of this series on Sunday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)

APG: M. Conley (5.9)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

PPG: N. Jokic (26.4)

APG: N. Jokic (9)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.4)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)