Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/01/2025

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, April 1, 2025

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +2, Nuggets -2; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +2, Nuggets -2; Over/Under:  230.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +2, Nuggets -2; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  43-32 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  47-28 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  5-5 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 43-32 record overall this season and they are 20-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns and the Detroit Pistons. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 26 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 25 points. Julius Randle led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 25. They were 47.3% from the field, 38.7% from 3-point range, and 74.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.2 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 35-39-1 this season and their O/U record is 42-33.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 47-28 record overall this season and they are 25-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Milwaukee Bucks and the Utah Jazz. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 27 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 20 points. Russell Westbrook led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 57.8% from the field, 37.9% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.7 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 35-39-1 this season and their O/U record is 45-30.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 47-28 record overall which has them right near the top of the West and in a playoff spot. They have looked great on their home court too with their 25-12 home record. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 43-32 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West and in a play-in spot. They have also been a good road team with their 20-16 road record this season. They have looked really good lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have some momentum with 2 wins in a row now, and they are still fighting for that last true playoff spot in the West. It is a really tight race for seeding in the West right now, but the Nuggets are also a part of that race. They are 3rd place in the West at the moment, but nothing is sealed for them and they still have a chance to move up too. They haven't looked as good as the Timberwolves lately as the Nuggets are only 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they have some momentum with 2 wins in a row too. The Timberwolves have been better lately, but they have also been a lot more inconsistent this season with the way they have moved up and down in the standings. The Nuggets haven't been at their best lately, but they have been rolling over the last 2 months as they surged up into a top spot in the West. The Nuggets are starting to gain some momentum again and they will bring their best effort for a division rival since this game will have big playoff implications for both teams. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, April 1, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 123 Timberwolves 116.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 25-16 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 25-14 ATS on the road versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game. 32-20 ATS on the road versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 50-28 UNDER off a home win. 47-29 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

Denver Nuggets: 11-22 1H ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 10-20 1H ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite. 22-13 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 20-11 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive home games.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  T. Shannon (SG) Day To Day - Groin.

Denver Nuggets:  J. Murray (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring. J. Strawther (SG) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

"I thought leading up to that, the game was way too physical. It was a little lopsided in its physicality and I thought it was bound to happen. It just felt like it was coming. We knew they were a super physical team. They hit you, they hold you... but I just thought it got to a point where players were going to take matters into their own hands, and you don't ever want that." - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Pistons in their game on Sunday.

“Don’t get too high, don’t get too low. Injuries are a part of basketball. I think he knows that. Sometimes, it’s really frustrating just to be out, on the sideline. But I think, big picture, he understands that sometimes you’re not having a good day and you’re going to get frustrated.” - Nikola Jokic on Aaron Gordon and his injuries this season.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: A. Edwards (27.2)

APG: J. Randle (4.7)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.6)

PPG: N. Jokić (29.3)

APG: N. Jokić (10.2)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.8)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)