Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/28/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 28, 2024

Venue:  Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA 

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks -2, Pelicans +2; Over/Under:  226 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks -2, Pelicans +2; Over/Under:  226 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks -2, Pelicans +2; Over/Under:  226 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  46-26 (1st place, Central Division)

New Orleans Pelicans:  44-28 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  5-5 last 10

New Orleans Pelicans:  7-3 last 10

The Bucks are entering this game with a 46-26 record overall and they are 17-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Los Angeles Lakers in their last game. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 29 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 27 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 21. They were 41.2% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 64.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 32-39-1 this season and their O/U record is 35-36-1.

The Pelicans are entering this game with a 44-28 record overall and they are 20-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Zion Williamson led the team in points in that game with 29 while CJ McCollum was next on the team with 23 points. Zion Williamson led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Trey Murphy III, Jonas Valančiūnas, and CJ McCollum each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 45.3% from the field, 36.8% from 3-point range, and 87% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.5 PPG against them. The Pelicans have an ATS record of 40-31-1 this season and their O/U record is 31-40-1.

The current betting odds have the Pelicans listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pelicans have looked really good in their games this season with their 44-28 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 20-14 home record. Meanwhile, the Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 46-26 record overall which has them right near the top of the East and in a playoff spot. The Bucks haven't looked as good in their road games this year though, with their 17-18 road record. They haven't looked great in their games lately either with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games and they just lost their last one on their home court to a banged up Lakers team. The Pelicans have been the much hotter team coming into this one with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games and they are also coming off a loss in their last one against the Thunder, but they will be looking to bounce back with a win in this game and they will be looking to take advantage of the Bucks on the road here where they haven't been at their best this season. The Pelicans have been really hot lately while the Bucks were hot over a week ago and have cooled right down now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pelicans to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Pelicans Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 28, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Pelicans 117 Bucks 113.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 12-28 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 2-8 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 16-23 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 8-2 UNDER as a road underdog. 9-4 UNDER after 2 consecutive non-conference games. 

New Orleans Pelicans: 29-19 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 18-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 31-19 ATS off a home loss. 8-2 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 23-7 UNDER after one or more consecutive overs. 

Milwaukee Bucks:  P. Beverley (PG) Ques Thurs - Wrist. M. Beauchamp (SF) Ques Thurs - Back.

New Orleans Pelicans:  J. Alvarado (PG) Ques Thurs - Lower Body. B. Ingram (SF) Mid April - Knee. D. Daniels (SG) Early April - Knee.

“We've got to watch this game, learn from this game. Watch why we weren't able to get a stop. Watch why the ball wasn't moving down the stretch. Watch why we lost the game. Watch why there was a lot of 50-50 balls and we weren't able to get them.” - Giannis Antetokounmpo after their loss against the LA Lakers in their game on Tuesday.

“This is what being competitive is all about. These games are fun to play in. We didn't get the result we wanted tonight, but games like this, when I watch playoff basketball, this is what games look like — just down the wire, teams make runs and whoever stays the most disciplined gets the win. So, I'm excited for this stretch.” - Zion Williamson after their loss against the OKC Thunder in their game on Tuesday.

PG Damian Lillard

SG Malik Beasley

SF Khris Middleton

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PG CJ McCollum

SG Trey Murphy III

SF Herbert Jones

PF Zion Williamson

C Jonas Valanciunas

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.6)

APG: D. Lillard (7.1)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.4)

PPG: Z. Williamson (22.7)

APG: B. Ingram (5.8)

Reb/G: J. Valanciunas (9.1)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)

New Orleans Pelicans: Willie Green (3rd season)