Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/26/2024

Game Time: 5:30 pm ET, Friday, April 26, 2024

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +4.5, Pacers -4.5; Over/Under:  223 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +4.5, Pacers -4.5; Over/Under:  223 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +4.5, Pacers -4.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  49-33 (1st place, Central Division)

Indiana Pacers:  47-35 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  3-7 last 10

Indiana Pacers:  7-3 last 10

The Bucks are entering this game with a 49-33 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 18-22 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Damian Lillard led the team in points in that game with 34 while Brook Lopez was next on the team with 22 points. Khris Middleton led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bobby Portis Jr. led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 44.2% from the field, 40.6% from 3-point range, and 90.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.4 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 36-47-1 this season and their O/U record is 41-42-1.

The Pacers are entering this game with a 47-35 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 37 while Myles Turner was next on the team with 22 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Pascal Siakam led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 55.6% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 64.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 120.2 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 45-37-3 this season and their O/U record is 43-40-2.

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Bucks and the 6th seeded Pacers for Round 1 of the NBA Eastern Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Pacers won game 2 of this series on the road. The Pacers got smacked in the face in game 1 as they were out of the game right from the start and trailed by over 20 points the entire game. They found their footing in game 2 though, winning that game by double digits and going toe-to-toe with the Bucks all night. The Pacers have been terrible in their road games this season too so that was a huge win for them, not only to even up this series, but because they needed to win a road game to get out of this series at all. Now they have flipped the home advantage going back home for game 3 and they have also looked a lot better on their home court all season with their 26-15 home record. Meanwhile, the Bucks have looked terrible in their road games this year with their 18-22 road record and now they are still going to be without Giannis Antetokounmpo in this game. They needed to win that 2nd game of the series at home to take some stress off of these 2 road games, but now they have a chance to go down in the series here and Lillard already showed that he isn't enough to win them this series himself. Lillard was able to carry the team in game 1 when they caught the Pacers by surprise, but the Pacers adjusted and were ready for them in game 2 as they were the ones to control that game. The Pacers have looked a lot better on their home court all year and this is going to be a really similar game to game 2 with the Pacers controlling the game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game.

Bucks Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 26, 2024 (5:30 pm ET start time) is Pacers 122 Bucks 109.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 1-8 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 15-24 ATS in road games. 19-28 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 28-13 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 11-3 UNDER as a # 3 seed in the playoffs. 11-4 UNDER after a loss by 10 points or more.

Indiana Pacers: 12-7 ATS vs. division opponents. 8-4 ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 18-10 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 23-16 UNDER when tied in a playoff series. 26-19 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread.

Milwaukee Bucks:  G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Early May - Calf. J. Galloway (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

Indiana Pacers:  B. Mathurin (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

“I thought we struggled execution-wise on the offensive end, and I thought that bled over to the defensive end. I thought it was more our offense tonight.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the Pacers in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.

“His experience in the playoffs is so valuable. He's not a guy that's going to get rattled by anything. Never has once since January, since we got him. He's a guy that people confide in and look up to." - Rick Carlisle on Pascal Siakam after his team’s win against the Bucks in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.

PG Damian Lillard

SG Patrick Beverley

SF Khris Middleton

PF Jae Crowder

C Brook Lopez

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith 

PF Pascal Siakam 

C Myles Turner

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.4)

APG: D. Lillard (7)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.5)

PPG: P. Siakam (21.7)

APG: T. Haliburton (10.9)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (7.1)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)