Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/26/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 26, 2025

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ALT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +4, Nuggets -4; Over/Under:  226 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +4, Nuggets -4; Over/Under:  226 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +3.5, Nuggets -3.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  40-31 (3rd place, Central Division)

Denver Nuggets:  45-28 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  4-6 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  4-6 last 10

The Bucks are entering this game with a 40-31 record overall this season and they are 16-19 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Phoenix Suns. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 31 while Brook Lopez was next on the team with 23 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Giannis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 44.6% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 69% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.1 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 35-35-2 this season and their O/U record is 34-38.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 45-28 record overall this season and they are 23-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Chicago Bulls. Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 28 while Peyton Watson was next on the team with 24 points. Russell Westbrook led the team in assists in that game with 10 while DeAndre Jordan led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 47.4% from the field, 30.6% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 34-38-1 this season and their O/U record is 44-29.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked good in their games this season with their 45-28 record overall which has them right near the top of the West and in a playoff spot. They have also looked good on their home court this year with their 23-12 home record. Meanwhile, the Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 40-31 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They haven't been a good road team though with their 16-19 road record. The Bucks have struggled on the road all season and they are coming off another road loss to the Suns in their last one. They haven't looked great lately either as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Nuggets haven't looked any better lately as they are also 4-6 in their last 10 games and coming off a home loss to the Bulls in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back and can take advantage of the way the Bucks have played in their road games this season. The Bucks lost a tight game to the Suns in their last one, but they were leading for a lot of that game and the Suns are also a team under .500. Nikola Jokic has been missing for the Nuggets lately so they haven't been at their best, but the Bucks are also without Lillard and Jokic could be back for this game. Even without him, the team has stepped up in some of their games without him this season so expect them to bring their best effort here for a struggling road team in the Bucks. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 26, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 113 Bucks 105.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 16-28 ATS as a road underdog. 9-17 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 14-23 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 15-9 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 22-15 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%).

Denver Nuggets: 16-8 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. 19-8 ATS off a home loss. 39-20 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. 36-23 OVER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. 16-10 1H OVER off an upset loss as a home favorite.

Milwaukee Bucks:  D. Lillard (PG) Out - Groin. J. Sims (C) Out - Thumb.

Denver Nuggets:  A. Gordon (PF) Out - Calf. N. Jokić (C) Out - Ankle. J. Strawther (SG) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

"I think we executed pretty well. That one wasn't, but we've been pretty good, so I'm not going to overdo the one play, honestly. That wasn't the reason we lost the game." - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the Suns in their game on Monday.

“I thought our guys, considering the circumstances, played hard tonight. But we needed to play harder. We gave up 31 points in transition against the best running team in the league. And that was what we talked about all day, getting back in transition. We got outscored by 20 on the break in a game that we lost by 10. So those are just examples. I could tell by the third quarter that we were dead tired. We just weren’t able to get back defensively. So, yeah. I thought our guys competed. But against a team like that, we needed to compete harder.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Bulls in their game on Monday.

PG Kevin Porter Jr.

SG Taurean Prince

SF Kyle Kuzma

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Zeke Nnaji

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.2)

APG: D. Lillard (7.1)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (12)

PPG: N. Jokić (29.1)

APG: N. Jokić (10.3)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.8)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)