Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/23/2024

Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Tuesday, July 23, 2024

Venue:  Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL 

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +102, Cubs -122; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +100, Cubs -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +100, Cubs -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  57-42 (1st place, NL Central)

Chicago Cubs:  48-53 (4th place, NL Central)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  5-5 last 10

Chicago Cubs:  6-4 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-42 record overall and have a road record of 28-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Tobias Myers is their starting pitcher on Monday while Colin Rea is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-3 with a 3.77 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 5.2 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Cubs are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-53 record overall and have a home record of 26-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .688 OPS. Javier Assad is their starting pitcher on Monday while Jameson Taillon is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-4 with a 3.10 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 3 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5.2 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 57-42 record overall which has them leading the NL Central with one of the best records in the MLB. They haven't looked as good in their road games this year but they haven't been bad with their 28-25 road record. Meanwhile, the Cubs haven't looked great in their games this season with their 48-53 record overall which has them at the bottom of the NL Central. They have looked better in their home games this year, but they are still 26-23 in those this season. They are entering this series with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games while the Brewers are 5-5, but the Brewers won both of their games out of the All-Star break against the Twins while the Cubs lost 2 of their 3 games at home to the Diamondbacks. The All-Star break was a big momentum killer for the Cubs since their offense has not been nearly as hot now and it won't help with Rea starting in this one for the Brewers. Rea is 9-3 with a 3.77 ERA this year and the team has been finding a ton of success with him on the mound. They have won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting and he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him all year. The Cubs are going to have Taillon on the mound and he hasn't looked bad with his 7-4 record and his 3.10 ERA, but he did give up 3 earned runs in his last start and that will be troublesome with the way the Brewers are hitting now. The Cubs have won 3 games in a row with Taillon starting, but they are due for a loss here with Rea pitching well and the Brewers being the much hotter team on offense right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Brewers Cubs Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 23, 2024 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Brewers 6 Cubs 3.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 57-43 (+9.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 100 games. 39-33 (+6.65 units) on the runline in their last 72 games. 58-42 (+10.75 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 100 games. 

Chicago Cubs: 9-23 (-16 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 32 home games. 13-25 (-16.05 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 38 games. 52-38 to the under in their last 90 games. 

Milwaukee Brewers:  O. Dunn (2B) Out indefinitely - Back. G. Sanchez (C) Mid July - Calf. E. Paredes (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Ross (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Gasser (SP) out for season - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) out for season - Shoulder. D. Williams (RP) Mid July - Back. W. Miley (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. D. Hall (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Chicago Cubs:  H. Wesneski (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Wicks (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. L. Little (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Bellinger (CF) Late July - Hand. C. Brewer (RP) Out indefinitely - Hand. Y. Almonte (RP) out of season - Shoulder. K. Thompson (SP) Mid July - Ribs. B. Brown (SP) Out indefinitely - Neck. C. Kilian (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. J. Merryweather (RP) Early June - Back. A. Alzolay (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.

“The mental toughness it takes to struggle the way he's went through it, he's come up with big hits. Every hit he gets is a big hit, it seems like.” - Pat Murphy on Rhys Hoskins after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Sunday.

“I don’t like to change my at-bats too much in the late opposition, but you do know that if you get on base, you’ve got the guys on our team who have had our best at-bats right behind you, and I have a lot of trust in them. (Michael) Busch has been so consistent for a long time now, Seiya (Suzuki) as well, so a lot of trust in them and I felt like they had a great chance to try and win the game.” - Nico Hoerner after their win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Sunday.

B Turang (L) 2B

W Contreras (R) DH

W Adames (R) SS

S Frelick (L) RF

R Hoskins (R) 1B

J Ortiz (R) 3B

G Mitchell (L) CF

J Chourio (R) LF

E Haase (R) C

N Hoerner (R) 2B

M Busch (L) 1B

S Suzuki (R) DH

I Happ (S) LF

C Morel (R) 3B

M Tauchman (L) RF

D Swanson (R) SS

T Nido (R) C

P Crow-Armstrong (L) CF

Batting Average:  Eric Haase (.429)

Hits:  William Contreras (110)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (15)

RBI:  Willy Adames (67)

Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (30)

Wins:  Colin Rea (9)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (19)

ERA:  James Meeker (0.00)

Batting Average:  David Bote (.353)

Hits:  Nico Hoerner (90)

Home Runs:  Christopher Morel (18)

RBI:  Ian Happ (58)

Stolen Bases:  Pete Crow-Armstrong (17)

Wins:  Shota Imanaga (8)

Saves:  Héctor Neris (13)

ERA:  Ethan Roberts (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)

Chicago Cubs: Craig Counsell (1st season)