Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/13/2024

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, September 13, 2024

Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -108, Diamondbacks -112; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -108, Diamondbacks -112; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -108, Diamondbacks -112; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  83-62 (1st place, NL Central)

Arizona Diamondbacks:  82-64 (2nd place, NL West)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  4-6 last 10

Arizona Diamondbacks:  6-4 last 10

The Brewers lost their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 83-62 record overall and have a road record of 41-33. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Friday with the series finale of their series against the San Francisco Giants still to be played on Thursday. The Brewers won the series opener of that series on Tuesday and lost the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .733 OPS. Frankie Montas is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Freddy Peralta is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 10-8 with a 3.81 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits through 4.2 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 82-64 record overall and have a home record of 41-31. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .778 OPS. Merrill Kelly was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Eduardo Rodríguez is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-2 with a 5.83 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 1 strikeout on 7 hits through 4 innings played against the Houston Astros.

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks have looked really good in their games this season with their 82-64 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL West and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They are 41-31 in their home games this season and they are also trying to catch the Dodgers in 1st place of their division too. Meanwhile, the Brewers have looked really good in their games this season with their 83-62 record overall which has them leading the NL Central. They are also 41-33 in their road games this season. They are going with Peralta on the mound here and he has looked good this season with his 10-8 record and his 3.81 ERA. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start but hasn't been giving up many runs all season, and the team has won 2 of the last 3 games he started in. The Diamondbacks are going with Rodriguez in this one and he is 2-2 with a 5.83 ERA. He hasn't looked as good in his starts this season and even gave up 4 earned runs in his last start. The team has also lost 2 games in a row with him starting. They have one of the best offenses in the entire MLB and they have been rolling in their games lately, but this pitching matchup is going to allow the Brewers offense to put up some runs too. The Diamondbacks have been hot on offense lately, but the Brewers have a great pitching staff and they can take advantage of this bad matchup for the D-Backs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Brewers Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, September 13, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Brewers 3 Diamondbacks 1.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 25-29 (-7.55 units) on the runline in their last 54 road games. 75-67 to the over in their last 142 games. 81-65 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 146 games. 

Arizona Diamondbacks: 57-32 (+23.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 89 games. 48-33 (+13.10 units) on the runline in their last 81 games. 61-29 to the over in their last 90 games. 

Milwaukee Brewers:  C. Yelich (LF) Sixty Day IL - Back. B. Wilson (SP) Undefined - Oblique. N. Mears (RP) Undefined - Forearm. E. Paredes (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. R. Zastryzny (RP) Undefined - Elbow. O. Dunn (2B) Sixty Day IL - Back. R. Gasser (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. W. Miley (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Bukauskas (RP) Undefined - Tricep.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  M. Kelly (SP) Questionable - Hamstring. L. Gurriel Jr. (LF) Ten Day IL - Undisclosed. K. Marte (2B) Ten Day IL - Ankle. G. Moreno (C) Ten Day IL - Groin. B. Jarvis (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. Jameson (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. K. Nelson (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

“It seemed like every ball they hit, there was no fielder there. Tough one. But Colin hung in there, gave us four innings so we didn’t have to go into our pen any deeper. He didn’t have his great stuff, but I’m confident. ... He’s probably a little worn out like a lot of guys are. But there’s no time for that. He’ll bounce back.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s loss against the Giants in their game on Wednesday.

"We’re really executing at a high level and it’s not just the slug that we saw today. It’s patient at-bats waiting for our pitch, putting down the bat, handing it off to the next guy.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Rangers in their game on Wednesday.

Jackson Chourio (R) LF

Blake Perkins (S) CF

William Contreras (R) C

Gary Sánchez (R) DH

Willy Adames (R) SS

Sal Frelick (L) RF

Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B

Joey Ortiz (R) 3B

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Ketel Marte (S) 2B

Corbin Carroll (L) RF

Randal Grichuk (R) LF

Christian Walker (R) 1B

Josh Bell (S) DH

Jake McCarthy (L) CF

Eugenio Suárez (R) 3B

Adrian Del Castillo (L) C

Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS

Batting Average:  Christian Yelich (.315)

Hits:  William Contreras (155)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (30)

RBI:  Willy Adames (102)

Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (41)

Wins:  Colin Rea (12)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (20)

ERA:  James Meeker (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ketel Marte (.295)

Hits:  Lourdes Gurriel (133)

Home Runs:  Ketel Marte (31)

RBI:  Eugenio Suárez (92)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (27)

Wins:  Zac Gallen (12)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (16)

ERA:  A.J. Puk (0.47)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)