by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 03, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 5, 2024
Venue: Husky Stadium, Seattle, WA
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Michigan +2.5, Washington -2.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Michigan +2.5, Washington -2.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Michigan +2.5, Washington -2.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
Michigan Wolverines: 4-1 (2-0) (6th place, Big Ten)
Washington Huskies: 3-2 (1-1) (11th place, Big Ten)
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Recent Form
Michigan Wolverines: won their last game at home against the Minnesota Golden Gophers 27-24.
Washington Huskies: lost their last game on the road against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights 21-18.
Michigan Wolverines vs Washington Huskies Preview and Analysis
Michigan is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Minnesota 27-24. Alex Orji was the starting QB and he completed 10/18 passes for 86 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Kalel Mullings led the team in rushing yards with 111 and 2 TDs. Colston Loveland led the receivers with 41 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Ernest Hausmann led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Mason Graham led the defense in sacks with 2. Jyaire Hill came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Washington is entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Rutgers 21-18. Will Rogers was the starting QB and he completed 26/36 passes for 306 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jonah Coleman led the team in rushing yards with 148. Denzel Boston led the receivers with 125 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Carson Bruener led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Alphonzo Tuputala led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Michigan vs Washington Prediction
The current betting odds have Washington listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Washington hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall and their 1-1 conference record. They did win their only Big Ten home game against Northwestern, but now they are coming off a road loss to Rutgers in their last one. Washington didn't look bad in that game though, only losing by 3 points on the road, and they have looked a lot better in their home games this year with their 3-0 home record. Meanwhile, Michigan has looked good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall and their 2-0 conference record, but all 5 of their games this season have been at home. Now they are playing their first true road game of the season which is also their first conference road game of the season and they have to go to the West coast for it. This will not be an easy game for them, especially since their offense has struggled a lot this year. They don't really have a solid QB and it has shown in their offensive performances. They did look a lot better in their last game, but even their defense hasn't been as good as previous years, coming off a 27-24 win over a weak Minnesota team. This is going to be a tough trip to make and Washington will want to get their revenge on Michigan from the National Championship last season, even though it isn't the same team. The best way to place a bet here is on Washington to cover the spread in this game.
Michigan Washington Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 5, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Washington 23 Michigan 16.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Michigan Wolverines: 7-2 ATS in road lined games. 14-7 ATS against conference opponents. 10-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-3 OVER in road lined games. 6-3 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 5-2 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.
Washington Huskies: 24-40 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival. 18-26 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 9-5 OVER vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.75 or less passing yards/att. 6-3 1H OVER vs. poor passing teams averaging 150 or less passing yards/game.
Key Injuries
Michigan Wolverines: C. Loveland (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Pollard (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Marshall (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Mangham (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Morris (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Tuttle (QB) Questionable - Elbow. R. Moore (DB) Out - Knee.
Washington Huskies: Q. Moore (TE) Out - Knee. D. Barkins (CB) Out - Undisclosed. R. Wright (SAF) Out - Undisclosed. R. Otton (TE) Out - Undisclosed. C. Crowell (TE) Out - Undisclosed. A. Parker (DL) Out - Undisclosed. L. Bryant (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Green (WR) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“When you give a Big Ten team field position, that's what is going to happen. Every Big Ten team is a tough opponent. We don't look at them any differently.” - Sherrone Moore after his team’s win against Minnesota in their last game.
“It was a game that went 60 minutes. But I told the team, you can't play two teams. You can't play ourselves and our opponent. When you have a penalty after a blocked field goal and when you miss three field goals, there's too many things that came back to get us. Not to take anything away from Rutgers, but we didn't handle our penalties and that's the saddest part of the night.” - Jedd Fisch after his team’s loss against Rutgers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Michigan Wolverines
WR Bell, Kendrick
WR Morris, Tyler
WR Morgan, Semaj
TE Loveland, Colston
QB Warren, Davis
RB Edwards, Donovan
Washington Huskies
WR Boston, Denzel
WR Hunter, Jeremiah
WR Jackson, Giles
TE Latu, Keleki
QB Rogers, Will
RB Coleman, Jonah
Statistical Leaders
Michigan Wolverines
Passing: D. Warren (444)
Rushing: K. Mullings (540)
Receiving: C. Loveland (228)
Touchdowns: K. Mullings (6)
Washington Huskies
Passing: W. Rogers (1354)
Rushing: J. Coleman (521)
Receiving: D. Boston (412)
Touchdowns: D. Boston (7)
Coaches:
Michigan Wolverines: Sherrone Moore (1st season)
Washington Huskies: Jedd Fisch (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
