Game Time: 9:39 pm ET, Friday, March 28, 2025
Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Michigan +9.5, Auburn -9.5; Over/Under: 153.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Michigan +9.5, Auburn -9.5; Over/Under: 153.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Michigan +9.5, Auburn -9.5; Over/Under: 153.5 points
Season Record
Michigan Wolverines: 27-9 (14-6) (3rd place, Big Ten)
Auburn Tigers: 30-5 (15-3) (1st place, SEC)
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Recent Form
Michigan Wolverines: 5-0 last 5
Auburn Tigers: 3-2 last 5
Michigan Wolverines vs Auburn Tigers Preview and Analysis
Michigan is entering this game with a 27-9 record overall, a 14-6 record in conference games, and they are 7-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game. Roddy Gayle Jr. led the team in points in that game with 26 while Vladislav Goldin was next on the team with 23. Daniel Wolf, Rubin Jones, and Tre Donaldson each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Vladislav Goldin led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 43.1% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 80.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.3 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 18-18 this season and their O/U record is 19-17.
Auburn is entering this game with a 30-5 record overall, a 15-3 conference record, and they are 9-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Creighton Bluejays in their last game. Tahaad Pettiford led the team in points in that game with 23 while Chad Baker-Mazara was next on the team with 17. Dylan Cardwell, Denver Jones, and Tahaad Pettiford each led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Johni Broome led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 46.9% from the field, 36.8% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.4 PPG against them. Auburn has an ATS record of 18-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-14.
Michigan vs Auburn Prediction
The current betting odds have Auburn listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn has looked great in their games this season with their 30-5 record overall and their 15-3 conference record which had them right at the top of the SEC. They have been ranked like the best team in the nation all season and played in the strongest conference this year. They have also been great in their neutral site games as they are 9-1 in those. Meanwhile, Michigan has looked really good in their games this season with their 27-9 record overall and their 14-6 conference record which had them right near the top of the Big Ten. They are also 7-3 in their neutral site games this season. Michigan choked away the Big Ten during the regular season, but they have been getting hot now as they went on a run to win the Big Ten Tournament. They have looked good in this tournament too, beating UC San Diego and Texas A&M in the first 2 rounds, but they also had some close calls in both of those games. Michigan got out to a big 1st half lead against UC San Diego, but they let that lead go in the 2nd half and only won by 3 points in the end. Now they are coming off a double digit win over Texas A&M in their last one, but that was also a game that they were trailing by double digits in the 2nd half too. Michigan has been good, but they win a lot of close games and have been too inconsistent with their play. Auburn didn't finish the season strong and they haven't really been tested in these first 2 rounds either, but they have been tested by many teams throughout the season with the schedule they had, and the real Auburn started to show up late in their game against Creighton as they pulled away to win by 12 points. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game.
Michigan Auburn Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 28, 2025 (9:39 pm ET start time) is Auburn 90 Auburn 75.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Michigan Wolverines: 5-9 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 9-3 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 18-8 OVER after scoring 85 points or more. 33-19 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins.
Auburn Tigers: 6-2 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 5-1 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 159.5. 26-18 OVER in non-conference games. 4-1 OVER in NCAA tournament games. 38-21 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less.
Key Injuries
Michigan Wolverines: S. Walters (F) Questionable - Back.
Auburn Tigers: D. Cardwell (C) Questionable - Leg. C. Moore (F) Questionable - Ankle. C. Baker-Mazara (G) Questionable - Hip.
Notable Quotes
“Just a mindset. If we know what they do, we will have to adjust it and have the same physicality.” - Vladislav Goldin after their win against Texas A&M in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament.
“We played like the No. 1 team in the country. We acted like the No. 1 team in the country. We prepared like the No. 1 team in the country.” - Bruce Pearl after his team’s win against Creighton in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament.
Starting Lineups
Michigan Wolverines
N. Burnett
T. Donaldson
R. Gayle
V. Goldin
D. Wolf
Auburn Tigers
C. Baker-Mazara
J. Broome
D. Cardwell
D. Jones
M. Kelly
Statistical Leaders
Michigan Wolverines
PPG: V. Goldin (16.7)
APG: T. Donaldson (3.9)
Reb/G: D. Wolf (9.7)
Auburn Tigers
PPG: J. Broome (18.9)
APG: J. Broome (3.1)
Reb/G: J. Broome (10.6)
Coaches:
Michigan Wolverines: Dusty May (1st season)
Auburn Tigers: Bruce Pearl (11th season)