Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/08/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, May 07, 2022
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, May 8, 2022
Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch:  BSSD

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +145, Padres -165; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +145, Padres -165; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +145, Padres -165; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
 

Season Record

Miami Marlins:  12-14 (2nd place, NL East)
San Diego Padres:  18-9 (2nd place, NL West)
 
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Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Miami Marlins:  4-6 last 10
San Diego Padres:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Marlins are coming into this game with a 12-14 record overall and they are 6-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 6 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks getting swept 3-0 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Padres on Sunday night. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Pablo López is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Trevor Rogers is on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 1-4 with a 6.14 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HRs, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits in 4.1 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 18 runs against them averaging 6 runs allowed per game.
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game with a 18-9 record overall and they are 8-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just split their 2-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 1-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Sunday night. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Sean Manaea is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Joe Musgrove will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 4-0 with a 1.97 ERA this season. His team won all 5 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 8 Ks on 7 hits in 7 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates. They scored 10 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Marlins vs Padres Prediction

The Padres are coming into this game as a big favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well in their recent games as they have been winning a lot and are starting to put together a streak again. They are going up against a Marlins side that has not been winning a lot of games recently and are coming into this one on a losing streak where they were even swept in their last series. They have not been hitting the ball well in this series either and they are going to be going up against the Padres best pitcher here in Musgrove. The starter for the Marlins has not been great in his starts this season either and the Padres have a strong lineup that can hit the ball well. The best bet in this game is on the Padres to win here.
 
Marlins Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, May 8, 2022 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Padres 5 Marlins 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Miami Marlins: 66-107 (-9.8 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 112-141 (-8.3 Units) ML in all games. 10-3 UNDER in road games.
San Diego Padres: 58-34 (+8.2 Units) ML as a favorite of -125 to -175. 6-1 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 5-1 UNDER against NL East opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Marlins:  P. Campbell (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury. J. Devers (SS) Mid May - Shoulder injury. D. Floro (RP) Mid May - Shoulder injury.
San Diego Padres:  L. Voit (1B) Mid May - Bicep injury. B. Snell (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) Mid June - Wrist injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"These hurt. Anytime you lose late like that it hurts you. We finally get that big hit that we needed to break through and you feel like OK we have a chance to put a game away and we're unable to do it." - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the Diamondbacks on Wednesday.
 
 
"We're getting a lot of wins and not getting a ton of production. Those guys are carrying the load but you know a lot of these guys have track records. In the meantime we're fighting hard, we're playing clean games defensively, we're getting well-pitched games and winning by a run here the last couple of nights." - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the marlins on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Jesus Aguilar (R) 1B
Garrett Cooper (R) DH
Joey Wendle (L) 3B
Avisail Garcia (R) RF
Jon Berti (R) LF
Jesus Sanchez (L) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Jacob Stallings (R) C
 
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth (L) DH
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Austin Nola (R) C
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Matt Beaty (L) RF
C.J. Abrams (L) 2B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Marlins
Batting Average:  Jazz Chisholm (.321)
Hits:  Jazz Chisholm (25c)
Home Runs:  Jazz Chisholm (4)
RBI:  Jazz Chisholm (19)
Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (6)
Wins:  Pablo Lopez (3)
Saves:  Anthony Bender (6)
ERA:  Louis Head (0.00)
 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Manny Machado (.382)
Hits:  Manny Machado (39)
Home Runs:  Manny Machado (7)
RBI:  Manny Machado (21)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (6)
Wins:  Joe Musgrove (4)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (11)
ERA:  Taylor Rogers (0.00)
 
Managers:
Miami Marlins: Don Mattingly (7th season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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