Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/06/2022

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, May 6, 2022

Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  BSSD

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +130, Padres -150; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +130, Padres -150; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +130, Padres -150; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

 

Miami Marlins:  12-12 (2nd place, NL East)

San Diego Padres:  16-9 (2nd place, NL West)

 

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Miami Marlins:  6-4 last 10

San Diego Padres:  7-3 last 10

 

 

 

The Marlins are coming into this game with a 12-12 record overall and they are 6-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 4 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks getting swept 3-0 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Friday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Friday with the series opener still to be played on Thursday. Jesús Luzardo is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Sandy Alcantara is on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 2-1 with a 2.90 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HRs, and 4 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits in 5.2 IP against the Seattle Mariners. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 18 runs against them averaging 6 runs allowed per game.

 

The Padres are coming into this game with a 16-9 record overall and they are 6-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just split their 2-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 1-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Friday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Friday with the series opener still to be played on Thursday. Nick Martinez is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Yu Darvish will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 2-1 with a 4.44 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 8 hits in 6 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates. They scored 10 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game.

 

The Padres are coming into this game as a favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing well in their recent games as they have not lost a series in their last 3 but they have also been playing against a lot of the bottom feeders in the MLB. They are going up against a Marlins side here that is currently in 2nd place in their division after a great start but they are starting to regress back to the mean as they have lost a few games straight now and just got swept by another bottom feeding team in the Diamondbacks who are playing like one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now. The Marlins put up some good fights in those games as the scores were very close but they also went down in every game and had to play from behind. If they do that against the Padres here, they may not be able to come back as the Padres have a very strong lineup that can score a lot of runs. The Padres have been playing much better recently anyway and they are going to be back at home here after a road trip. The best bet to make in this game is on the Padres to win here.

 

Marlins Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, May 6, 2022 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 6 Marlins 4.

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Miami Marlins: 66-106 (-8.8 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 112-139 (-6.1 Units) ML in all games. 27-17 OVER on the road when the total is 6 to 6.5.

San Diego Padres: 57-34 (+7.2 Units) ML as a favorite of -125 to -175. 16-9 (+6.2 Units) ML in all games. 27-13 OVER when the total is 7 or less.

 

 

Miami Marlins:  J. Wendle (2B) Ques Thurs - Hamstring injury. J. Devers (SS) Mid May - Shoulder injury. D. Floro (RP) Mid May - Shoulder injury.

San Diego Padres:  L. Voit (1B) Mid May - Bicep injury. B. Snell (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) Mid June - Wrist injury.

 

 

 

"These hurt. Anytime you lose late like that it hurts you. We finally get that big hit that we needed to break through and you feel like OK we have a chance to put a game away and we're unable to do it." - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the D-Backs on Wednesday.

 

 

 

Jon Berti (R) 3B

Jesus Aguilar (R) 1B

Jorge Soler (R) LF

Garrett Cooper (R) DH

Brian Anderson (R) RF

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Miguel Rojas (R) SS

Bryan De La Cruz (R) CF

Payton Henry (R) C

 

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B

Manny Machado (R) 3B

Jurickson Profar (S) LF

Eric Hosmer (L) DH

Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS

Jorge Alfaro (R) C

C.J. Abrams (L) 2B

Jose Azocar (R) RF

 

 

Batting Average:  Jazz Chisholm (.329)

Hits:  Jazz Chisholm (23)

Home Runs:  Jazz Chisholm (4)

RBI:  Jazz Chisholm (19)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (5)

Wins:  Pablo Lopez (3)

Saves:  Anthony Bender (6)

ERA:  Louis Head (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Eric Hosmer (.378)

Hits:  Manny Machado (35)

Home Runs:  Jurickson Profar (5)

RBI:  Manny Machado (18)

Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (5)

Wins:  Joe Musgrove (4)

Saves:  Taylor Rogers (10)

ERA:  Taylor Rogers (0.00)

 

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Don Mattingly (7th season)

San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)