by Rod Pearson
Friday, Aug 18, 2023
Game Time: 9:10 pm ET, Saturday, August 19, 2023
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Marlins +160, Dodgers -192; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Marlins +160, Dodgers -192; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Marlins +160, Dodgers -192; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Miami Marlins: 63-59 (3rd place, NL East)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 74-46 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Miami Marlins: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 10-0 last 10
Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Marlins are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 63-59 record overall and have a road record of 26-32. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the LA Dodgers on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Sandy Alcantara is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Eury Pérez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-4 with a 3.19 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 4 IP against the New York Yankees.
The Dodgers are entering this series on an 11 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers in their last series. They enter this game with a 74-46 record overall and have a home record of 41-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .793 OPS. Tony Gonsolin is their starting pitcher on Friday while Julio Urías is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 10-6 with a 4.35 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 12 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have been rolling in their games lately as they have the lead in the NL West and also one of the best offenses in the entire MLB. They have been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately which is something that the Marlins haven't been doing and the Marlins will really struggle to keep up here considering how up and down they have been lately. The Marlins do have Perez starting here who hasn't been terrible this season but lately he has been giving up more runs in his starts and that will be troublesome here against such a good offense like the Dodgers have. The Dodgers also have Urias starting here and even though he hasn't been great this season he has been pitching a lot better in his starts lately and he will have no trouble shutting down the Marlins offense which hasn't been great in their games lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game and on the runline.
Marlins Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 19, 2023 (9:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 6 Marlins 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Miami Marlins: 10-12 (-4.2 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 51-66 (-14 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 29-17 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 16-6 UNDER against NL West opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 41-18 (+10.1 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 54-28 (+15.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 10-5 UNDER as a home favorite of -175 to -250. JULIO URIAS is 3-1 UNDER as a favorite of -175 to -250.
Key Injuries
Miami Marlins: H. Brazoban (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Rogers (SP) Late Aug - Bicep. A. Nardi (SP) Late Aug - Tricep. J. Chargois (RP) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Nance (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder. M. Barnes (RP) out for season - Hip. J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Los Angeles Dodgers: J. Martinez (DH) Ques Fri - Groin. J. Marisnick (CF) Mid Sept - Hamstring. J. Kelly (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. Y. Almonte (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Cyr (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Miller (RP) Late Aug - Neck. D. Hudson (RP) Early Sept - Knee. J. Deluca (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“For us to fight back was great to see. The momentum was on our side, but then we had four walks that (seventh) inning and a lot of them scored. That was a frustrating ending.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s loss against the Astros in their game on Wednesday.
“It's nice to win a game where you can prevent runs.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Brewers in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Miami Marlins
Jorge Soler (R) DH
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Josh Bell (S) 1B
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) CF
Jake Burger (R) 3B
Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF
Jesus Sanchez (L) RF
Nick Fortes (R) C
Jon Berti (R) SS
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
David Peralta (L) LF
Will Smith (R) DH
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Jason Heyward (L) RF
James Outman (L) CF
Enrique Hernandez (R) SS
Austin Barnes (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Miami Marlins
Batting Average: Xavier Edwards (.381)
Hits: Luis Arraez (164)
Home Runs: Jorge Soler (30)
RBI: Jorge Soler (65)
Stolen Bases: Jazz Chisholm (16)
Wins: Jesus Luzardo (8)
Saves: A.J. Puk (15)
ERA: Robert Garcia (0.00)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Jake Marisnick (.400)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (160)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (31)
RBI: Freddie Freeman (83)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (16)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (11)
Saves: Evan Phillips (18)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Managers:
Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
