Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/28/2022

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, May 28, 2022

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +115, Braves -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +115, Braves -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +115, Braves -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

 

Miami Marlins:  18-24 (4th place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  21-24 (3rd place, NL East)

 

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Miami Marlins:  4-6 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10

 

 

 

The Marlins are coming into this game with a 18-24 record overall and they are 8-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays getting swept 2-0, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Trevor Rogers is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Sandy Alcantara is on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 4-2 with a 2.11 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits in 9 IP against the Atlanta Braves. They scored 4 runs in their last series averaging 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 4.5 runs allowed per game.

 

The Braves are coming into this game with a 21-24 record overall and they are 12-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just split their 4-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-2 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Ian Anderson is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Tucker Davidson will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 1-1 with a 8.71 ERA this season. His team lost their last game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 2 strikeouts on 4 hits in 2.2 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies. They scored 18 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 20 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game.

 

The Marlins are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. The Marlins are missing some key players from their lineup here and they are going up against a Braves team that has been starting to heat up recently playing very well at home but this is a good pitching matchup for the Marlins here and they will be able to get some hits and score runs in this game. They have Alcantara starting for them here and he has been great all season as he is sure to keep the lineup of the Braves in check all night while the Braves have Davidson on the mound here who has been awful all season and will likely get beat up on again in this game. The Braves have been heating up recently but they have also been very inconsistent all season and the Marlins have lost a lot of games recently and will be hungry for a win. The best bet here is on the Marlins to win this game as they have a much better starter here.

 

Marlins Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 28, 2022 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Marlins 7 Braves 4.

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Miami Marlins: 118-151 (-13.2 Units) ML in all games. 68-115 (-15.7 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 13-8 OVER in May games.

Atlanta Braves: 74-48 (+14.7 Units) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 65-37 (+20 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 13-5 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150.

 

 

Miami Marlins:  J. Chisholm Jr. (SS) Ques Fri - Hamstring. J. Wendle (2B) Early June - Hamstring. J. Berti (3B) Out indefinitely - Illness.

Atlanta Braves:  R. Acuna Jr. (LF) Out Fri - Quadricep. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye.

 

 

 

"The bullpen kept us in the game. That's one thing I liked about this game because it was one of those games that can get away from you." - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the Rays on Wednesday.

 

 

"We know facing Nola, if he's on, he's rough. He can locate, speed you up, slow you down, the whole thing. Looking back we had one real good opportunity all night when we had first and third." - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Phillies on Thursday.

 

 

 

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Jesus Aguilar (R) DH

Jorge Soler (R) LF

Avisail Garcia (R) RF

Brian Anderson (R) 3B

Jacob Stallings (R) C

Jesus Sanchez (L) CF

Miguel Rojas (R) SS

Erik Gonzalez (R) 2B

 

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Dansby Swanson (R) SS

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

William Contreras (R) DH

Adam Duvall (R) RF

Orlando Arcia (R) LF

Guillermo Heredia (R) CF

 

 

Batting Average:  Joey Wendle (.304)

Hits:  Jesus Aguilar (40)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (9)

RBI:  Jazz Chisholm (27)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (6)

Wins:  Pablo Lopez (4)

Saves:  Anthony Bender (6)

ERA:  Daniel Castano (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Orlando Arcia (.318)

Hits:  Matt Olson (44)

Home Runs:  Austin Riley (9)

RBI:  Dansby Swanson (23)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (8)

Wins:  Max Fried (4)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (10)

ERA:  William Woods (0.00)

 

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Don Mattingly (7th season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)