Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/27/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, May 26, 2022
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Friday, May 27, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  BSSE

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +135, Braves -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +130, Braves -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +135, Braves -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Miami Marlins:  18-24 (4th place, NL East)
Atlanta Braves:  21-23 (2nd place, NL East)
 
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Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Miami Marlins:  4-6 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Marlins are coming into this game with a 18-24 record overall and they are 8-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays getting swept 2-0, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Braves on Friday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday. Cody Poteet was the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Trevor Rogers is on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 2-5 with a 5.20 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 3 HRs, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 8 hits in 4 IP against the Atlanta Braves. They scored 4 runs in their last series averaging 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 4.5 runs allowed per game.
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 21-23 record overall and they are 12-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Friday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday with the series finale of their series with the Philadelphia Phillies still to be played on Thursday. Kyle Wright is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Ian Anderson will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 3-3 with a 4.07 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits in 6 innings played against the Miami Marlins. They scored 17 runs in their last series averaging just over 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 16 runs against them averaging just over 5 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

 

Marlins vs Braves Prediction

The Braves are coming into this game starting to heat up in their recent games as they have been winning more recently. They are at home for this series where they have been playing well this season and they are starting to hit the ball much better and score more runs than they were at the beginning of the season. They are going up against a Marlins side that is in the middle of a slump right now and just got swept by the Rays in their last series. The Marlins have not been playing well at all recently and they have Rogers starting here who has been having an awful season. Anderson is starting for the Braves here and he has not been great recently but he has not been bad either and has been much better than Rogers this season. Anderson was pitching very well at the beginning of the season and he is more likely to bounce back here and start pitching better in his starts than Rogers who has been bad all season. The Braves also have a good bullpen and between their pitching and hitting recently, they should have no trouble winning this game. The best bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
 
Marlins Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, May 27, 2022 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 12 Marlins 5.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Miami Marlins: 118-151 (-13.2 Units) ML in all games. 51-82 (-9.5 Units) ML in road games. 20-10 OVER after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs.
Atlanta Braves: 163-130 (+4.1 Units) ML in all games. 45-31 (+6.8 Units) ML against left-handed starters. 16-6 OVER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Marlins:  J. Chisholm Jr. (SS) Ques Fri - Hamstring. J. Wendle (2B) Early June - Hamstring. J. Berti (3B) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Atlanta Braves:  R. Acuna Jr. (LF) Doub Thurs - Quadricep. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"The bullpen kept us in the game. That's one thing I liked about this game because it was one of those games that can get away from you." - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the Rays on Wednesday.
 
 
"I feel like we're finally seeing some of the results show up just with the work we've been putting in." - Dansby Swanson after their win against the Phillies on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Marlins
Garrett Cooper (R) 1B
Jesus Aguilar (R) DH
Jorge Soler (R) LF
Avisail Garcia (R) RF
Brian Anderson (R) 3B
Jacob Stallings (R) C
Jesus Sanchez (L) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Erik Gonzalez (R) 2B
 
Atlanta Braves
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
William Contreras (R) C
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Orlando Arcia (R) DH
Travis Demeritte (R) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Marlins
Batting Average:  Joey Wendle (.304)
Hits:  Jesus Aguilar (40)
Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (9)
RBI:  Jazz Chisholm (27)
Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (6)
Wins:  Pablo Lopez (4)
Saves:  Anthony Bender (6)
ERA:  Daniel Castano (0.00)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Orlando Arcia (.341)
Hits:  Matt Olson (44)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (9)
RBI:  Dansby Swanson (23)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (8)
Wins:  Max Fried (4)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (10)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Managers:
Miami Marlins: Don Mattingly (7th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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