Miami Hurricanes vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/05/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Feb 04, 2022
Game Time: 5:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 5, 2022
Venue:  John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA 
Where to Watch:  ACC Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Miami +3.5, UVA -3.5; Over/Under:  128 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Miami +3.5, UVA -3.5; Over/Under:  127.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Miami +3.5, UVA -3.5; Over/Under:  127.5 points
 

Season Record

Miami Hurricanes:  16-6 (3rd place, ACC)
Virginia Cavaliers:  13-9 (6th place, ACC)
 
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Miami Hurricanes vs Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Miami Hurricanes:  3-2 last 5
Virginia Cavaliers:  3-2 last 5
 
 
 

Miami Hurricanes Analysis

Miami is coming into this game with a 16-6 record overall and they are 5-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 12th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 8-3 in their conference games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. Their 2 wins in that span were against the Virginia Tech Hokies and the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets while their loss came against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in their last game. Isaiah Wong led the team in points in that game with 18 while Charlie Moore and Anthony Walker off the bench were both next on the team with 12 points each. Moore led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Walker led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43.3% from the field, 32% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.3 PPG against them. Miami has an ATS record of 11-11 this season and their O/U record is 12-10.
 
 

Virginia Cavaliers Analysis

UVA is coming into this game with a 13-9 record overall and they are 8-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 13th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 7-5 in their conference games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish while their 2 wins in that span came against the Louisville Cardinals and the Boston College Eagles in their last game. Kihei Clark led the team in points in that game with 19 while Jayden Gardner was next on the team with 17 points. Reece Beekman led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Kadin Shedrick led the team in rebounds off the bench with 8. They were 44.2% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 89.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 62.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 59.6 PPG against them. UVA has an ATS record of 10-12 this season and their O/U record is 11-11.
 

 

Miami vs Virginia Prediction

UVA is coming off of a loss in their last game and they have not been having a great season but they are still playing defense at a very high level in their games and they have not been allowing their opponents to score a lot on them. They have only let 1 opponent score more than 70 points on them in their last 7 games and Miami has not been scoring a lot recently so Virginia will be able to keep this game close with their good defense at home here. Miami has not been playing well recently and they have played in a lot of close games. They have had 3 of their last 4 games and 6 of their last 8 games decided by 5 points or less whether Miami won or lost the game. Miami will not score as many points here with the good defense from UVA and Miami has not been playing great anyway. This should be another low scoring and close game that is decided within 5 points.
 
Miami Virginia Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 5, 2022 (5:00 pm ET start time) is Miami 63 UVA 61.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Miami Hurricanes: 15-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 6-1 ATS when the total is 129.5 or less. 6-1 ATS as an underdog. 115-70 ATS as a road underdog or pick.
Virginia Cavaliers: 31-42 ATS in all games. 24-35 ATS as a favorite. 15-23 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 17-23 ATS in all home games. 3-14 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Hurricanes:  H. Beverly (G) out for season - Back injury.
Virginia Cavaliers:  F. Caffaro (C) Ques Sat - Nose injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“Our strategy to begin the game was to keep Notre Dame from hitting threes because they’re a terrific three-point shooting team, but Atkinson was terrific. We picked our poison, our defense got stretched out and that left him in single coverage with a lot of room to maneuver and get easy baskets. Our help defense was a step slow for some reason.” - Jim Larranaga on his team’s loss against Notre Dame.
 
 
“This was a physical game, played hard. It was a rugged game. I thought we kind of made some tough plays. Not perfect defense, but it was scrappy.” - Tony Bennett on his team’s win against Boston College.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Hurricanes
K McGusty 
J. Miller 
C. Moore 
S. Waardenburg 
I. Wong 
 
Virginia Cavaliers
R. Beekman 
K. Clark 
A. Franklin 
J. Gardner 
K. Shedrick
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Hurricanes
PPG: K. McGusty (17.5)
APG: C. Moore (4)
Reb/G: K. McGusty (5.9)
 
Virginia Cavaliers
PPG: J. Gardner (14.5)
APG: R. Beekman (4.9)
Reb/G: J. Gardner (6.8)
 
Coaches:
Miami Hurricanes: Jim Larranaga (11th season)
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett (13th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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