by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 15, 2024
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 19, 2024
Venue: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, KY
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Miami-FL -4.5, Louisville +4.5; Over/Under: 61 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Miami-FL -4.5, Louisville +4.5; Over/Under: 61.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Miami-FL -4.5, Louisville +4.5; Over/Under: 61.5 points
Season Record
Miami Hurricanes: 6-0 (2-0) (1st place, ACC)
Louisville Cardinals: 4-2 (2-1) (6th place, ACC)
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Recent Form
Miami Hurricanes: won their last game on the road against the California Golden Bears 39-38.
Louisville Cardinals: won their last game on the road against the Virginia Cavaliers 24-20.
Miami Hurricanes vs Louisville Cardinals Preview and Analysis
Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against California 39-38. Cameron Ward was the starting QB and he completed 35/53 passes for 437 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Mark Fletcher Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 81 and 1 TD. Xavier Restrepo led the receivers with 163 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Wesley Bissainthe led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Simeon Barrow Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. Francisco Mauigoa came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Louisville is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Virginia 24-20. Tyler Shough was the starting QB and he completed 18/31 passes for 231 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Isaac Brown led the team in rushing yards with 146 and 2 TDs. Ja'Corey Brooks led the receivers with 83 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Tamarion McDonald led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Ramon Puryear, Adonijah Green, and Ashton Gillotte each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Miami vs Louisville Prediction
The current betting odds have Louisville listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Louisville has looked good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall and their 2-1 conference record. They already picked up a loss in the ACC with their loss to SMU, but this is the team that was in the ACC Championship last season and they will be looking to get back there again. Meanwhile, Miami has looked great in their games this season with their 6-0 record overall and their 2-0 conference record. They are coming out of their bye week and have had extra time to prepare for this game, but they have already struggled a lot more in their 2 conference games. They struggled to beat VA Tech at home in their first ACC game and they barely beat California in their last one, winning by 1 point and needing a huge 4th quarter comeback to do so. They have dug some early holes in their last 2 games and this game isn't going to be any easier on the road against another good ACC opponent that was in the Championship game last season. Louisville is coming off a win against Virginia in their last one and they have the offense to keep up with Miami here. Miami's defense hasn't looked good since they started conference play either so they aren't blowing Louisville out if they win this game at all. The best way to place a bet here is on Louisville to cover the spread in this game.
Miami Louisville Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 19, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Louisville 31 Miami 28.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Miami Hurricanes: 11-20 ATS in all lined games. 6-13 ATS as a favorite. 4-14 ATS against conference opponents. 0-7 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 4-13 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 5-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record.
Louisville Cardinals: 13-4 ATS in home lined games. 7-4 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 7-2 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 6-3 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 9-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.
Key Injuries
Miami Hurricanes: R. Mack (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Rivers (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Brown (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Rodriguez (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Bain (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Taylor (DB) Questionable - Arm. I. Thomas (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Porter (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Louisville Cardinals: D. Chaney (RB) Questionable - Ankle. A. Williams (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Guerad (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Calloway (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Lacy (WR) Out - Collarbone.
Notable Quotes
"We just can’t put ourselves in these situations to come back. That’s two games straight we had to do that. We have to lock in. ... It's good to get a win. We’re not going to complain. An ugly win is better than a good loss.” - Cam Ward after their win against Cal in their last game.
“A back-and-forth game that wasn’t perfect by any means. But it was a hard, workmanlike job that our team did.” - Jeff Brohm after his team’s win against UVA in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Hurricanes
WR Brown, Samuel
WR George, Jacolby
WR Restrepo, Xavier
TE Arroyo, Elijah
QB Ward, Cam
RB Martinez, Damien
Louisville Cardinals
WR Bell, Chris
WR Brooks, Ja'Corey
WR Lacy, Caullin
TE Redman, Mark
QB Shough, Tyler
RB Chaney, Donald
Statistical Leaders
Miami Hurricanes
Passing: C. Ward (2219)
Rushing: D. Martinez (292)
Receiving: X. Restrepo (585)
Touchdowns: X. Restrepo (5)
Louisville Cardinals
Passing: T. Shough (1674)
Rushing: I. Brown (508)
Receiving: J. Brooks (572)
Touchdowns: J. Brooks (6)
Coaches:
Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (3rd season)
Louisville Cardinals: Jeff Brohm (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
