Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/17/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Apr 15, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, April 17, 2024
Venue:  Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +4.5, 76ers -4.5; Over/Under:  207 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +4.5, 76ers -4.5; Over/Under:  207 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +4.5, 76ers -4.5; Over/Under:  207 points

Season Record

Miami Heat:  46-36 (2nd place, Southeast Division)
Philadelphia 76ers:  47-35 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 10-0 NBA RUN for +$10,000 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Miami Heat:  7-3 last 10
Philadelphia 76ers:  8-2 last 10


Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Preview and Analysis


The Heat are entering this game with a 46-36 record overall and they are 24-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Toronto Raptors in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Raptors, Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Thomas Bryant each led the team in points in that game with 18 while Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro each were next on the team with 17 points. Tyler Herro led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Thomas Bryant led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.9% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 89.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.4 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 40-40-2 this season and their O/U record is 35-47.



The 76ers are entering this game with a 47-35 record overall and they are 25-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on an 8 game winning streak with wins coming against the Toronto Raptors, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Miami Heat, the Memphis Grizzlies, the San Antonio Spurs, the Detroit Pistons, the Orlando Magic, and the Brooklyn Nets in their last game. Tyrese Maxey led the team in points in that game with 26 while Tobias Harris was next on the team with 21 points. Kyle Lowry led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Paul Reed led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 42.7% from the field, 31.8% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The 76ers have an ATS record of 48-34 this season and their O/U record is 43-39.


Heat vs 76ers Prediction

The current betting odds have the 76ers listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is a game for the play-in tournament between the 7th seed and the 8th seed in the East with the winner of this game moving on to the playoffs in the East in the 7th seed while the loser will have to play the winner of the 9th/10th seed game to decide who gets the 8th and final seed for the playoffs in the East. The 76ers have looked really good in their games this season with their 47-35 record overall which landed them in this 7th seed, but they have also looked really good on their home court with their 25-16 home record this year. Meanwhile, the Heat have looked good with their 46-36 record overall and they are also 24-17 in their road games, but they had plenty of opportunities to surge up the standings in the East and failed to do so. They have won 2 games in a row and have looked good lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games, but the 76ers are still the hotter team coming into this game on their home court with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games and they have also been building a ton of momentum with 8 wins in a row now. The 76ers shouldn't even be in this position either since they were missing Joel Embiid for the last half of the season and that is when they really slid down the standings. Now he has been back healthy and the team has been rolling over everyone they face, they won't waste this opportunity at home to win 1 game and get into the playoffs. The best way to place a bet here is on the 76ers to cover the spread in this game.

Heat 76ers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 17, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is 76ers 116 Heat 108.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Miami Heat Philadelphia 76ers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

NBA Betting Trends


Miami Heat: 10-21 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins. 15-22 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 17-7 UNDER as a road underdog. 16-7 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins. 7-2 UNDER when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent.
 
Philadelphia 76ers: 16-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 16-8 ATS off a home win. 28-18 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 17-5 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5. 10-3 UNDER after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more. 11-5 UNDER off a home win against a division rival.

Key Injuries


Miami Heat:  D. Robinson (SF) Ques Wed - Back. T. Rozier (PG) Ques Wed - Neck. K. Love (PF) Ques Wed - Arm. J. Richardson (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

Philadelphia 76ers:  R. Covington (SF) out for season - Knee. K. Martin (PF) Ques Wed - Toe. J. Embiid (C) Ques Wed - Knee. D. Melton (PG) Ques Wed - Back.


Notable Quotes


“We've just got to go out there and compete, play basketball the right way and do something very difficult — which is to win on Philly's floor. But it's the time of the year where you'll have to do that anyways if you want to win a championship. Obviously, we'll have to do it if we want to get to 7.” - Jimmy Butler after their win against the Raptors in their last game of the regular season on Sunday.


“We've got a good mindset, I think, and we'll just take that into Wednesday.” - Nick Nurse after his team’s win against the Nets in their last game of the regular season on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Miami Heat
PG Delon Wright
SG Tyler Herro
SF Jimmy Butler
PF Nikola Jovic
C Bam Adebayo

Philadelphia 76ers
PG Tyrese Maxey
SG Kyle Lowry 
SF Kelly Oubre Jr.
PF Tobias Harris
C Joel Embiid

Statistical Leaders


Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (20.8)
APG: T. Rozier (5.6)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.4)

Philadelphia 76ers
PPG: J. Embiid (34.7)
APG: T. Maxey (6.2)
Reb/G: J. Embiid (11)

Coaches:
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)
Philadelphia 76ers: Nick Nurse (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.