Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/13/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Dec 13, 2021
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Monday, December 13, 2021
Venue:  Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  BSSUN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +4, Cavaliers -4; Over/Under:  NL points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat NL, Cavaliers NL; Over/Under:  NL points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +4.5, Cavaliers -4.5; Over/Under:  NL points
 

Season Record

Miami Heat:  16-11 (1st place, Southeast Division)
Cleveland Cavaliers:  16-12 (3rd place, Central Division)
 
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Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10
Cleveland Cavaliers:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Miami Heat Analysis

The Heat are coming into this game with a 16-11 record overall and they are 8-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. Their last loss was against the Memphis Grizzlies but they have gone on a 2 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Milwaukee Bucks and the Chicago Bulls in their last game. Duncan Robinson led the team in points in that game with 26 while Dewayne Dedmon was next on the team with 20 points. Kyle Lowry led the team in assists in that game with 14 while Dedmon led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 49.5% from the field, 44.2% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 107.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 104 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 16-11 this season and their O/U record is 16-11.
 
 

Cleveland Cavaliers Analysis

The Cavs are coming into this game with a 16-12 record overall and they are 7-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. Their last loss was against the Milwaukee Bucks but they have gone on a 3 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Chicago Bulls, the Minnesota Timberwolves, and the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Isaac Okoro led the team in points in that game with 20 while Jarrett Allen was next on the team with 19 points. Darius Garland led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Evan Mobley led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 46.6% with their field goals, 38.7% from 3-point range, and 82.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 106 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 102.2 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 12-5-2 this season and their O/U record is 11-17.
 
 

 

Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction

The Cavaliers are coming into this game as a 4 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cavaliers have been having a very good season this year and they are much improved from last season. They have some talented young players on their team and will be at home here against an injured Heat side. Bam Adebayo is missing for the Heat and there is a chance that Jimmy Butler will not play either. The Cavaliers have the best ATS record in the NBA, not just that but they are the only NBA team with an ATS% over 70% and they are covering at 80% this season. The best bet to place in this game is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread here as they are only going to get better as the season goes on.
 
Heat Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, December 13, 2021 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 107 Heat 97.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Miami Heat: 22-10 O/U when the total is 200 to 209.5. 6-2 O/U as an underdog. 5-1 O/U as a road underdog. 10-5 O/U in road games. 16-8 O/U in December games. 30-21 O/U against Central division opponents. 27-11 O/U revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. 14-5 O/U revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite. 8-1 O/U revenging a loss vs opponent.
Cleveland Cavaliers: 20-6 ATS in all games. 8-1 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5. 10-3 ATS in home games. 6-1 ATS in December games. 20-6 ATS in the first half of the season. 5-1 ATS against Southeast division opponents. 8-3 ATS after a non-conference game. 8-2 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. 13-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders. 13-2 ATS after allowing 105 points or less.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Heat:  J. Butler (PF) Ques Mon - Tailbone injury. C. Martin (SF) Out indefinitely - Illness. Victor Oladipo (SG) Late Dec - Quadricep injury. B. Adebayo (C) Mid Jan - Thumb injury. M. Garrett (PG) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. Markieff Morris (PF) Out indefinitely - Neck injury.
Cleveland Cavaliers:  Collin Sexton (PG) out for season - Knee injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We're just playing well together and making shots, figuring things out. We don't have time to do too much and we're all aware what our roles are going to be." - Kyle Lowry on their win against the Bulls on Saturday night.
 
 
"Everyone is happy for everyone else anytime one of our teammates does something good. That just speaks to our chemistry. We've learned from the things we've gone through already and we'll keep doing that." - Evan Mobley on their win against the Kings on Saturday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Heat
PG     Kyle Lowry
SG     Duncan Robinson
SF     Max Strus
PF     P.J. Tucker
C     Dewayne Dedmon
 
Cleveland Cavaliers
PG    Darius Garland 
SG    Isaac Okoro
SF    Lauri Markkanen
PF    Evan Mobley
C    Jarrett Allen
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (22.8)
APG: K. Lowry (8.1)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.2)
 
Cleveland Cavaliers
PPG: D. Garland (19)
APG: D. Garland (7.6)
Reb/G: J. Allen (11.2)
 
Coaches:
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (14th season)
Cleveland Cavaliers: J.B. Bickerstaff (3rd season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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