Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, April 2, 2025
Venue: TD Garden, Boston, MA
Where to Watch: NBCS-BOS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Heat +11, Celtics -11; Over/Under: 214 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Heat +11, Celtics -11; Over/Under: 214 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Heat +10.5, Celtics -10.5; Over/Under: 214 points
Season Record
Miami Heat: 34-41 (3rd place, Southeast Division)
Boston Celtics: 56-19 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
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Recent Form
Miami Heat: 5-5 last 10
Boston Celtics: 9-1 last 10
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Preview and Analysis
The Heat are entering this game with a 34-41 record overall this season and they are 15-22 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the Golden State Warriors, the Atlanta Hawks, the Philadelphia 76ers, and the Washington Wizards. Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 28 while Tyler Herro was next on the team with 27 points. Terry Rozier led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 50.5% from the field, 28.1% from 3-point range, and 70.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.9 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 35-39-1 this season and their O/U record is 38-37.
The Celtics are entering this game with a 56-19 record overall this season and they are 24-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 9 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat, the Brooklyn Nets twice in a row, the Utah Jazz, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Sacramento Kings, the Phoenix Suns, the San Antonio Spurs, and the Memphis Grizzlies. Al Horford led the team in points in that game with 26 while Jayson Tatum was next on the team with 25 points. Derrick White led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Jayson Tatum led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 40.6% from the field, 33.9% from 3-point range, and 94.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.7 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 35-39-1 this season and their O/U record is 34-41.
Heat vs Celtics Prediction
The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as an 11 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked great in their games this season with their 56-19 record overall which has them right near the top of the East with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 24-12 home record. Meanwhile, the Heat haven't looked good in their games this season with their 34-41 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the East, but that record still has them in a play-in spot. They have also been a terrible road team this year with their 15-22 road record. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they have a ton of momentum on their side right now with 5 wins in a row. They have been getting really hot lately, but they have also been beating up on a lot of bad teams and have still been really inconsistent. The Celtics are coming into this one even hotter, going 9-1 in their last 10 games. They also have a ton of momentum on their side with 9 wins in a row now. The Celtics have been starting to roll now with the playoffs right around the corner and they have the talent to put a stop to this Heat winning streak. They may not have the best record in the East this season, but they are still the defending champions, and they do have a slight chance of getting the number 1 seed since they are only 4 games behind. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game.
Heat Celtics Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 2, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 117 Heat 94.
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NBA Betting Trends
Miami Heat: 5-9 ATS off a road win. 15-29 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 7-17 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 8-1 UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
Boston Celtics: 163-113 1H ATS in all games. 43-23 1H ATS against Southeast division opponents. 125-75 1H ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less. 11-2 UNDER against Southeast division opponents. 27-17 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more.
Key Injuries
Miami Heat: D. Mitchell (PG) Day To Day - Stomach. A. Wiggins (SF) Day To Day - Hamstring. K. Love (PF) Day To Day - Personal. D. Robinson (SF) Out - Back. N. Jovic (PF) Out - Hand. D. Smith (PG) Out For Season - Achilles.
Boston Celtics: J. Brown (SF) Day To Day - Knee. L. Kornet (C) Day To Day - Illness.
Notable Quotes
“It feels like we’re really connected. It feels like everyone’s covering for each other and we’re all playing really well off each other right now.” - Tyler Herro after their win against the Wizards in their game on Monday.
“Just looking back on my career, I never thought I’d be in this position. So I’m just thankful for the coaching staff and the guys on this team. I knew I wouldn’t be able to do it without them." - Derrick White on breaking the Celtics single season 3 point record after their win against the Grizzlies in their game on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Miami Heat
PG Tyler Herro
SG Alec Burks
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Bam Adebayo
C Kel'el Ware
Boston Celtics
PG Derrick White
SG Jrue Holiday
SF Jaylen Brown
PF Jayson Tatum
C Kristaps Porzingis
Statistical Leaders
Miami Heat
PPG: T. Herro (23.7)
APG: T. Herro (5.6)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.7)
Boston Celtics
PPG: J. Tatum (27.1)
APG: J. Tatum (5.9)
Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.8)
Coaches:
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (17th season)
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (3rd season)