by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jan 03, 2025
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, January 5, 2025
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Dolphins -1, Jets +1; Over/Under: 39 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Dolphins -1, Jets +1; Over/Under: 39 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Dolphins -1, Jets +1; Over/Under: 39 points
Season Record
Miami Dolphins: 8-8 (2nd place, AFC East)
New York Jets: 4-12 (3rd place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Miami Dolphins: won their last game on the road against the Cleveland Browns 20-3.
New York Jets: lost their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 40-14.
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Dolphins are entering this game with an 8-8 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 3-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 20-3. Tyler Huntley was the starting QB and he completed 22/26 passes for 225 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Tyler Huntley led the team in rushing yards with 52 and 1 TD. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 105 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Tyrel Dodson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Emmanuel Ogbah led the defense in sacks with 1. Tyrel Dodson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Jets are entering this game with a 4-12 record overall and they have a 1-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-5 in their home games, 2-6 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 40-14. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 12/18 passes for 112 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 45. Garrett Wilson led the receivers with 66 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Jamien Sherwood and Quincy Williams each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Dolphins vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins have looked good in their games this season with their 8-8 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AFC East and fighting for the last Wild Card spot. They have had a really up and down year with a lot of injuries to key players, but here they are in week 18 with a chance to make the playoffs still. They do need a loss from the Broncos to get in, but all they can do is control their own path so they are going to be motivated to beat the Jets here. Meanwhile, the Jets have looked terrible in their games this season with their 4-12 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AFC East with one of the worst records in the NFL. They are coming off a terrible 40-14 loss to the Bills last week and they have looked bad as a team lately. Their offense has no rhythm as the Aaron Rodgers experiment has turned out to be a huge failure, and the defense has only gotten worse since Robert Saleh was fired. The Jets can only play spoiler in this game, but their season has been over for a while now and they have no cohesion as a team either. The Dolphins haven't looked great at times, but they are still fighting for something in this game and they are going to bring their best effort to win it and keep their hopes alive. They are going to have some momentum too with a 20-3 win over the Browns last week with Tyler Huntley as their QB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game.
Dolphins Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 5, 2025 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 24 Jets 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Miami Dolphins: 6-3 ATS as a road favorite. 13-5 ATS versus division opponents. 6-1 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 16-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 14-8 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 5-2 1H UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points.
New York Jets: 19-30 ATS in all games. 8-17 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 5-13 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 6-11 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 17-9 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 11-6 UNDER versus division opponents. 15-7 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.
Key Injuries
Miami Dolphins: T. Tagovailoa (QB) Doubtful - Hip. A. Walker (LB) Out - Knee. T. Hill (WR) Questionable - Wrist. J. Poyer (SAF) Questionable - Knee. T. Armstead (T) Questionable - Knee. K. Fuller (CB) Out - Knee. J. Brooks (LB) Injured - Quad. D. Eskridge (WR) Questionable - Knee. A. Ingold (FB) Injured - Ankle. J. Waddle (WR) Questionable - Knee. M. Washington (WR) Injured - Knee. C. Campbell (DT) Injured - Rest.
New York Jets: L. Fotu (DT) Out - Knee. D. Adams (WR) Out - Hip. M. Carter (CB) Questionable - Back. S. Gardner (CB) Questionable - Hamstring. B. McGregor (DE) Questionable - Ankle. M. Moses (OL) Questionable - Knee. A. Vera-Tucker (G) Injured - Ankle. T. Adams (SAF) Questionable - Ankle. H. Reddick (LB) Questionable - Neck. J. Simpson (OL) Injured - Calf. Q. Williams (DL) Questionable - Hamstring. A. Rodgers (QB) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“This was not ideal in any way, shape or form. But it was a tremendous outing for (Huntley). It showed how far Snoop has come.” - Mike McDaniel after his team’s win against the Browns in their last game.
“It’s frustrating, it’s embarrassing, it’s maddening. It’s all of that.” - Jeff Ulbrich after his team’s loss against the Bills in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Dolphins
WR Cracraft, River
WR Hill, Tyreek
WR Washington, Malik
TE Smith, Jonnu
QB Huntley, Tyler
RB Achane, De'Von
FB Ingold, Alec
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Lazard, Allen
WR Adams, Davante
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Rodgers, Aaron
RB Hall, Breece
Statistical Leaders
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (2867)
Rushing: D. Achane (786)
Receiving: T. Hill (939)
Touchdowns: D. Achane (11)
New York Jets
Passing: A. Rodgers (3623)
Rushing: B. Hall (819)
Receiving: G. Wilson (1053)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (7)
Coaches:
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (3rd season)
New York Jets: Jeff Ulbrich (Interim)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
