by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 08, 2024
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, November 11, 2024
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Dolphins +1, Rams -1; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Dolphins +1, Rams -1; Over/Under: 50 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Dolphins +1, Rams -1; Over/Under: 50 points
Season Record
Miami Dolphins: 2-6 (3rd place, AFC East)
Los Angeles Rams: 4-4 (2nd place, NFC West)
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Recent Form
Miami Dolphins: lost their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 30-27.
Los Angeles Rams: won their last game on the road against the Seattle Seahawks 26-20 in overtime.
Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams Preview and Analysis
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 2-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 30-27. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 25/28 passes for 231 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 63 and 1 TD. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Calais Campbell led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Chop Robinson led the defense in sacks with 1. Jalen Ramsey came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Rams are entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 26-20 in OT. Matthew Stafford was the starting QB and he completed 25/44 passes for 298 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kyren Williams led the team in rushing yards with 69. Cooper Kupp led the receivers with 104 receiving yards on 11 receptions. Christian Rozeboom led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Braden Fiske led the defense in sacks with 2. Kamren Kinchens led the defense in interceptions with 2 while Jaylen McCollough came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Dolphins vs Rams Prediction
The current betting odds have the Rams listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rams haven't looked bad in their games this season with their 4-4 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NFC West and right in the division race. They haven't been great compared to some other teams and divisions in the NFC this season, but the NFC West is wide open right now with the Cardinals leading it with a 5-4 record. The Rams are right in this playoff race in the division and they are going to have a ton of momentum on their side from that win in Seattle last week. They have also looked a lot better in their games lately as they have been getting healthier with key players returning. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-6 record overall which has them out of the division race in the AFC East with the Bills now pulling away. They are also coming off a loss to the Bills in their last one and really needed that win so this is a tough situation going out West for this game now off that loss. A lot of their losses this season were when Tua Tagovailoa was injured, but he didn't look great before his injury and now has 2 losses with no wins since coming back. The Dolphins will be desperate to win this game, but they haven't really figured things out on defense this season with some blown leads in their last 2 games while the Rams have looked a lot better on defense lately and have gotten things figured out over the last few weeks. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rams to cover the spread in this game.
Dolphins Rams Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, November 11, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Rams 24 Dolphins 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Miami Dolphins: 0-3 ATS against NFC West division opponents. 4-8 1H ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 1-5 1H ATS off a loss against a division rival. 10-4 UNDER after playing a division game. 6-0 UNDER off a loss against a division rival. 9-2 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game.
Los Angeles Rams: 3-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 11-6 1H ATS as a favorite. 5-0 1H ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 5-0 UNDER in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 7-4 1H UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%).
Key Injuries
Miami Dolphins: C. Campbell (DT) Injured - Rest. E. Ogbah (LB) Injured - Bicep. J. Poyer (SAF) Injured - Rest. T. Armstead (T) Injured - Knee. T. Bowser (OLB) Injured - Knee. R. Cracraft (WR) Injured - Shoulder. Z. Sieler (DT) Injured - Eye. A. Jackson (OL) Injured - Knee. A. Ingold (FB) Injured - Calf. J. Hill (TE) Injured - Shoulder. J. Holland (SAF) Injured - Hand. R. Jones (OL) Injured - Knee. K. Kohou (CB) Injured - Neck. S. Duck (CB) Injured - Ankle. P. McMorris (SAF) Injured - Calf.
Los Angeles Rams: D. Robinson (WR) Injured - Toe. R. Havenstein (OL) Injured - Ankle. K. Curl (DB) Injured - Knee. N. Gallimore (NT) Injured - Shoulder. J. Jackson (G) Injured - Shoulder. K. Dotson (OL) Injured - Ankle. S. Avila (OL) Injured - Knee. E. Evans (P) Injured - Illness. J. Wallace (DB) Injured - Calf. J. Whittington (WR) Injured - Shoulder. C. Woods (DB) Injured - Toe.
Notable Quotes
“Hats off to Tyler Bass for making that. Hats off to their team, they did a great job. It was a great game. There’s things that we could fix on both sides of the ball, offensively and defensively, but I think we’re taking a step in the right direction as a team.” - Tua Tagovailoa after their loss against the Bills in their last game.
“What a unique, weird game that was. What a job by our group to come away with the win.” - Sean McVay after his team’s win against the Seahawks in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Dolphins
WR Beckham Jr., Odell
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Hill, Tyreek
TE Smith, Jonnu
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB Achane, De'Von
FB Ingold, Alec
Los Angeles Rams
WR Robinson, Demarcus
WR Nacua, Puka
WR Kupp, Cooper
TE Parkinson, Colby
QB Stafford, Matthew
RB Williams, Kyren
Statistical Leaders
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (948)
Rushing: D. Achane (420)
Receiving: T. Hill (446)
Touchdowns: D. Achane (5)
Los Angeles Rams
Passing: M. Stafford (1969)
Rushing: K. Williams (602)
Receiving: T. Atwell (366)
Touchdowns: K. Williams (10)
Coaches:
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (3rd season)
Los Angeles Rams: Sean McVay (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
