by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 15, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 20, 2024
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Dolphins +3, Colts -3; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Dolphins +3.5, Colts -3.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Dolphins +3.5, Colts -3.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Miami Dolphins: 2-3 (2nd place, AFC East)
Indianapolis Colts: 3-3 (2nd place, AFC South)
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Recent Form
Miami Dolphins: won their last game on the road against the New England Patriots 15-10.
Indianapolis Colts: won their last game on the road against the Tennessee Titans 20-17.
Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts Preview and Analysis
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 15-10. Tyler Huntley was the starting QB and he completed 18/31 passes for 194 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jaylen Wright led the team in rushing yards with 86. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Marcus Maye led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Emmanuel Ogbah and Zach Sieler each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Colts are entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 20-17. Joe Flacco was the starting QB and he completed 22/38 passes for 189 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Tyler Goodson led the team in rushing yards with 51. Josh Downs led the receivers with 66 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Zaire Franklin led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Julian Blackmon came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Dolphins vs Colts Prediction
The current betting odds have the Colts listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Colts have looked good in their games this season with their 3-3 record overall. They had a rough start to the season, but now they have won 3 of their last 4 games and their offense has looked good in these games. Meanwhile, the Dolphins haven't looked good in their games this season with their 2-3 record overall. They won their season opener against the Jaguars and then lost 3 games in a row before finally winning again in their last one. Now they are coming out of their bye week so they have had extra time to prepare for this game, but they still have a big problem at QB with Tua still out. The offense just hasn't looked good without Tua and the defense hasn't been doing their part either. The Colts have a more consistent offense right now and even though their defense hasn't looked great, they will be able to stop this struggling Dolphins offense. The Dolphins won't be able to put the points up to match this Colts offense at home and the defense won't be able to keep them off the board either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Colts to cover the spread in this game.
Dolphins Colts Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 20, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Colts 27 Dolphins 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Miami Dolphins: 6-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 5-2 ATS off a win against a division rival. 7-4 ATS in games played on turf. 8-4 OVER as a road underdog. 7-3 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 10-1 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more.
Indianapolis Colts: 3-9 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 15-24 1H ATS in all games. 4-8 1H ATS after playing a division game. 6-3 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 6-3 OVER after a win by 6 or less points. 6-2 OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%).
Key Injuries
Miami Dolphins: None.
Indianapolis Colts: G. Stewart (DT) Injured - Rest. D. Odeyingbo (DE) Injured - Hip. T. Sermon (RB) Injured - Collarbone. M. Pittman (WR) Questionable - Back. J. Downs (WR) Questionable - Toe. J. Taylor (RB) Out - Ankle. A. Richardson (QB) Questionable - Oblique. R. Kelly (C) Injured - Neck. K. Paye (DE) Injured - Quadricep. B. Smith (T) Questionable - Knee. K. Moore (CB) Questionable - Hip.
Notable Quotes
“Some of the things that we’re shooting ourselves in the foot with right now, it was a full team win to be able to overcome those issues.” - Alec Ingold after their win against the Patriots in their last game.
“He’s got to be one of the toughest players I’ve played with. I think part of him was probably trying to prove a point.” - Joe Flacco after their win against the Titans in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Dolphins
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Hill, Tyreek
WR Berrios, Braxton
TE Smith, Jonnu
QB Huntley, Tyler
RB Mostert, Raheem
FB Ingold, Alec
Indianapolis Colts
WR Pierce, Alec
WR Pittman Jr., Michael
WR Downs, Josh
TE Alie-Cox, Mo
QB Flacco, Joe
RB Sermon, Trey
Statistical Leaders
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (483)
Rushing: D. Achane (183)
Receiving: T. Hill (286)
Touchdowns: D. Achane (2)
Indianapolis Colts
Passing: J. Flacco (716)
Rushing: J. Taylor (349)
Receiving: A. Pierce (368)
Touchdowns: J. Taylor (4)
Coaches:
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (3rd season)
Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
