Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/13/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 13, 2025

Venue:  Yuengling Center, Tampa, FL 

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Memphis -6.5, USF +6.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Memphis -6.5, USF +6.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Memphis -6.5, USF +6.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Memphis Tigers:  20-4 (10-1) (1st place, AAC)

South Florida Bulls:  12-12 (5-6) (8th place, AAC)

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Memphis Tigers:  5-0  last 5

South Florida Bulls:  2-3  last 5

Memphis is entering this game with a 20-4 record overall, a 10-1 record in conference games, and they are 7-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Temple Owls in their last game. PJ Haggerty led the team in points per game in that game with 20 while Dain Dainja was next on the team with 18. PJ Haggerty led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Dain Dainja led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 56.1% from the field, 42.1% from 3-point range, and 72% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 73.2 PPG against them. Memphis has an ATS record of 11-13 this season and their O/U record is 13-11.

South Florida is entering this game with a 12-12 record overall, a 5-6 conference record, and they are 9-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Wichita State Shockers in their last game. Jamille Reynolds led the team in points in that game with 18 while Jimmie Williams was next on the team with 12. CJ Brown led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Jamille Reynolds led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 52.2% from the field, 17.6% from 3-point range, and 70.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.3 PPG against them. South Florida has an ATS record of 7-16 this season and their O/U record is 9-14.

The current betting odds have Memphis listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Memphis has looked really good in their games this season with their 20-4 record overall and their 10-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the AAC. They have also been a great road team this year with their 7-1 road record. Meanwhile, South Florida hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 12-12 record overall and their 5-6 conference record which has them right in the middle of the AAC. They have looked good on their home court with their 9-3 home record, but they have struggled a lot more in conference play. They haven't looked good lately as they are only 2-3 in their last 5 games and they are coming off a bad home loss to Wichita State in their last one. They have been dealing with some injuries lately too and that isn't going to help in this game against the best team in the conference who is also ranked in the top 25. Memphis has been rolling lately as they blow out a lot of teams in their games, coming off an 8 point win over Temple in their last one, and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 7 wins in a row too. They are coming off that 8 point win at home against Temple, but a lot of their conference games have been wins by double digits this season and this is a game where Memphis can take advantage of a banged up South Florida team that has been struggling lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Memphis to cover the spread in this game. 

Memphis South Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, February 13, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Memphis 90 South Florida 72.

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Memphis Tigers: 5-11 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 0-5 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 16-25 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 10-4 OVER after playing 2 consecutive home games. 25-15 OVER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more.

South Florida Bulls: 23-14 ATS as an underdog. 26-18 ATS after playing a home game. 10-3 1H ATS off a home loss. 23-15 OVER as an underdog. 13-6 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 4-1 OVER off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite.

Memphis Tigers:  T. Hunter (G) Questionable - Knee.

South Florida Bulls:  K. Knox (G) Questionable - Ankle. D. Green (F) Out - Foot. C. Walker (F) Out - Suspension.

"The best thing that we have — we have the best video crew in the country. Halftime, we watch live plays that we marked in the first half, so the guys are actually seeing it in real-time, looking at it live, what just happened to us.” - Penny Hardaway after his team’s win against Temple in their last game. 

“It’s obvious where the game took a toll on us, and that's obviously in the rebounding category. I mean, you can't give up 19 offensive rebounds and expect to be the good team, no matter if you're at home or on the road.” - Ben Fletcher after his team’s loss against Wichita State in their last game. 

M. Cisse 

P. Haggerty 

T. Hunter 

N. Jourdain 

C. Rogers

Q. Ademokoya 

C. Brown 

K. Jennings 

J. Reid 

J. Reynolds

PPG: P. Haggerty (21.6)

APG: P. Haggerty (3.7)

Reb/G: D. Dainja (6.6)

PPG: J. Reynolds (12.7)

APG: J. Reid (3.7)

Reb/G: J. Reynolds (7.6)

Coaches:

Memphis Tigers: Anfernee Hardaway (7th season)

South Florida Bulls: Ben Fletcher (1st season)